Torino vs Udinese: match statistics

Both teams have earned 4 points in their last five matches, but Udinese have been more potent in attack, scoring 7 goals in that span compared with Torino's 4. Away from home, the visitors average 3 goals and 5 shots on target per match, while Torino average 0.5 goals and 2 shots on target at home. The hosts have lost both of their home matches so far, conceding an average of 2 goals, giving Udinese a chance to capitalise on their attacking edge. However, backing the visitors calls for caution: they concede an average of 3.5 goals away from home, and their xG stands at 1.09 — significantly below what their average goals scored would suggest. Despite this defensive weakness, Torino's poor finishing and home xG of 0.87 point to a narrow advantage for Udinese.

BTTS occurred in 67% of Torino's home matches and 100% of Udinese's away matches, compared with a league average of 57%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in these matches, and Udinese conceded an average of 3.5 goals away from home, increasing the likelihood of Torino scoring. The visitors scored an average of 3.0 goals away, while Torino conceded 1.33 goals per match at home, making an Udinese goal likely as well. In their last five matches, BTTS landed in 60% and 80% of cases for the two teams, respectively, although Torino scored just 0.8 goals per match over that period. The hosts' lower scoring output reduces confidence in the prediction, but the combined figures point more clearly toward both teams to score.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 67% of Torino’s matches and 100% of Udinese’s. Both teams concede goals—Torino average 1.33 and Udinese 3.5 per match—which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. The hosts’ average xG of 1.71 and Udinese’s average xG conceded of 2.33 also support a Torino goal. Higher lines are less reliable: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 40% of Torino’s and 60% of Udinese’s last five matches. Therefore, the 3.05-goal forecast supports backing Over 1.5, but does not justify a similarly strong recommendation on a higher line.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Udinese were level at the break in each of their last five matches, while Torino were level at half-time in two of their three home games. After the break, the advantage could shift to the hosts, who average 1.71 xG at home, while Udinese allow opponents 2.33 xG on the road. Across their last five matches, Torino averaged 1.4 points in second halves, compared with just 0.8 for Udinese, who also conceded an average of 1.2 goals after half-time. The X/1 scenario remains uncertain, however, as Torino have not won any of the three home matches included in the data, while Udinese have averaged three goals away from home. Even so, the combination of Udinese's frequent half-time draws and Torino's edge in chance creation makes X/1 the strongest single HT/FT pick.