Toronto II vs Connecticut United: match statistics
Toronto II vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toronto II play Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 14 June 2026 at 21:00. Venue: BMO Training Ground & Academy. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Toronto II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toronto II scores 1.58 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Connecticut United scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toronto II 58%, Connecticut United 78%. Over 2.5: Toronto II 74%, Connecticut United 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.27. Toronto II: 10.1 shots per match, Connecticut United: 13.9.
Match halves
Toronto II: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.84. Connecticut United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Toronto II: 31-45+ (6 goals). Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Toronto II holds a clear home advantage: 67% home wins, averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match. In the last 5 home games the hosts scored 9 goals, recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and average 2 points per game, while Connecticut has 6 goals and 1 point per game over that period. The visitors create more chances (avg. 14.5 shots and 6.13 on target per away game, xG 1.79 vs hosts' xG 1.37) but are less efficient (12% vs 17%) and have a higher average goals conceded. Connecticut concedes 1.88 goals away and has registered no clean sheets on the road (0%), whereas Toronto concedes only 1.33 at home and has a lower loss rate (17%). Considering the hosts' superior efficiency (1.83 vs 1.75 goals), form advantage (PPG 2 vs 1) and the visitors' weaker defense, I assess the probabilities as: 60% Toronto win, 25% draw, 15% Connecticut win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto II | Connecticut United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connecticut United is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Toronto II · 2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Toronto II · 1.83 goals / match - Connecticut United
Connecticut United is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Toronto II · 1.78 goals / match - Connecticut United
Toronto II scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Connecticut United scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toronto II
Over / Under — Connecticut United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toronto II is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Toronto II · 1.39 pts / match - Connecticut United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toronto II
Connecticut United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Toronto II | Liga | Connecticut United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Toronto II 1 - 0 - 1 Connecticut United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto II vs Connecticut United?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Toronto II 2:4 Connecticut United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toronto II and Connecticut United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toronto II won 1, Connecticut United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto II vs Connecticut United?
Toronto II score 1.58 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 1.83. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Toronto II's matches and 78% of Connecticut United's.
What form are Toronto II and Connecticut United in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Connecticut United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto II vs Connecticut United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.