Toronto II vs New York City II: match statistics
Toronto II vs New York City II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toronto II played New York City II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 28 August 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Toronto II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. New York City II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toronto II scores 1.65 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. New York City II scores 1.83 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toronto II 65%, New York City II 61%. Over 2.5: Toronto II 78%, New York City II 70%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
New York City II has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.27. Toronto II: 10.1 shots per match, New York City II: 11.8.
Match halves
Toronto II: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.83. New York City II: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Toronto II: 76-90+ (9 goals). New York City II: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toronto II have a clear home advantage: they win 50% of their home matches, score an average of 1.90 goals there, and have never ended a home game without scoring. New York City II sit higher in the table, in 13th place compared with 23rd, and have collected 10 points and scored 13 goals in their last five matches, while Toronto have earned 7 points and scored 11 goals. However, away fixtures are a major problem for the visitors, as they lose as many as 55% of their matches on the road and have a negative goal difference, despite maintaining 55% possession. The hosts are also vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.80 goals at home with an xG against of 1.63, so the match should produce chances at both ends. I give Toronto II a marginally better chance, as their consistent scoring and 18% conversion rate at home could exploit their opponent’s poor away form.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS pick is supported by both teams’ season indicators: Toronto II have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches, while New York City II have done so in 55%, compared with a league average of 62%. The hosts score an average of 2.00 goals but concede 1.33, while the visitors score 1.64 goals and allow opponents 1.73, creating favorable conditions for goals at both ends. In their last five matches, Toronto II had BTTS in 100% of games and conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match, while New York City II scored 2.6 goals during this period. Their attacking potential is also confirmed by xG: 1.42 for the hosts and 1.55 for the visitors over the season, while the New York side recently generated a very high 1.93 xG. The main risk to the pick comes from the visitors’ 27% rate of matches without scoring, but Toronto II’s poor recent defensive record clearly increases the chances of the visitors finding the net as well.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of both teams clearly points to a goal-filled match: Toronto II average 2.00 goals scored per game, while New York City II average 1.64. In their last five matches, the hosts scored 11 and conceded 12 goals, while the visitors netted 13, confirming the high attacking tempo of both sides. At least two goals were scored in all of Toronto II’s matches and in 73% of New York City II’s games, while the league average is a high 3.29 goals per match. Additionally, Toronto II have kept a clean sheet in only 25% of their matches, and the visitors’ xG from their last five appearances stands at 1.93, making Over 1.5 the strongest and most reliable selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Toronto II has a clearer first-half profile over the course of the season: they have led at the break in 6 of 11 matches (55%), compared with just 3 of 11 (27%) for New York City II. The hosts average 1.18 goals scored before half-time, while opponents score 0.64 during that period, supporting the scenario of Toronto taking an early lead. At home, Toronto win 58% of their matches and average 2.00 goals scored, while NYC II concede 1.73 goals per game. However, the visitors’ recent form over their last five matches has been strong, with 2.60 goals scored per game and a 60% win rate, meaning the chances of a draw or a turnaround after half-time remain significantly elevated. Despite this, the best single HT/FT option remains 1/1, as Toronto’s superiority in opening phases is combined with a better overall season record.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto II | New York City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City II is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Toronto II · 2 pts / match - New York City II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City II is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Toronto II · 1.83 goals / match - New York City II
New York City II is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Toronto II · 1.52 goals / match - New York City II
Toronto II scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
New York City II scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toronto II
Over / Under - New York City II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City II is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Toronto II · 1.57 pts / match - New York City II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toronto II
New York City II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Toronto II | Liga | New York City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.70 | 3.29 | • 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- New York City IIYellow cardEl Hadji Samb
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Toronto II 3 - 0 - 2 New York City II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto II vs New York City II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Toronto II 2:0 New York City II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toronto II and New York City II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto II won 3, New York City II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto II vs New York City II?
Toronto II score 1.65 goals per game on average and New York City II 1.83. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Toronto II's matches and 61% of New York City II's.
What form are Toronto II and New York City II in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New York City II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto II vs New York City II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.