United States - MLSData current as of 05 September 2026

Toronto vs Nashville SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Toronto vs Nashville SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Toronto play Nashville SC in MLS (United States). The match date is 9 September 2026.

Current form

Toronto: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Nashville SC: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Toronto scores 1.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Nashville SC scores 2.04 and concedes 0.74. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toronto 82%, Nashville SC 43%. Over 2.5: Toronto 64%, Nashville SC 57%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Nashville SC has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Toronto: 11.5 shots per match, Nashville SC: 11.9.

Match halves

Toronto: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 1.05. Nashville SC: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

Toronto: 76-90+ (12 goals). Nashville SC: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.75)
(3.70)
(2.25)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TorontoNashville SC
1.45Goals scored / match2.04
TorontoNashville SC
1.73Goals conceded / match0.74
TorontoNashville SC
46%Average possession54%
TorontoNashville SC
4.27Shots on target / match4.74
TorontoNashville SC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.5Shots per match11.91
TorontoNashville SC
4.27Shots on target4.74
TorontoNashville SC
12.6%Shot conversion17.2%
TorontoNashville SC
46%Possession54%
TorontoNashville SC
1.34xG for1.4
TorontoNashville SC
1.45xG against1.22
TorontoNashville SC

Shooting quality

Toronto: Counter-attackingNashville SC: Efficient finishing
TorontoNashville SC
Accuracy (shots on target)37%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nashville SC is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Toronto · 2.6 pts / match - Nashville SC

Toronto
DWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W45% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-10-7
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-7-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Nashville SC
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
70% W22% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-5-2
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nashville SC is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Toronto · 2.04 goals / match - Nashville SC

Nashville SC is 134% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - Toronto · 0.74 goals / match - Nashville SC

Toronto scoring profile: strong

Toronto scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).

Nashville SC scoring profile: very strong

Nashville SC scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

32Goals scored (season)47
TorontoNashville SC
38Goals conceded (season)17
TorontoNashville SC
3.18Average goals in match2.78
TorontoNashville SC
9Goals scored (last 5)12
TorontoNashville SC
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
TorontoNashville SC

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal78%
TorontoNashville SC
41%2 goals61%
TorontoNashville SC
18%3 goals39%
TorontoNashville SC
0%4 goals22%
TorontoNashville SC

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal52%
TorontoNashville SC
50%2 goals22%
TorontoNashville SC
32%3 goals0%
TorontoNashville SC
5%4 goals0%
TorontoNashville SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time22%
TorontoNashville SC
9%BTTS in both halves9%
TorontoNashville SC
9%Scored in both halves48%
TorontoNashville SC

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
TorontoNashville SC
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
TorontoNashville SC
100%BTTS - last 540%
TorontoNashville SC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
TorontoNashville SC
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
TorontoNashville SC
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
TorontoNashville SC

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
TorontoNashville SC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
TorontoNashville SC
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
TorontoNashville SC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nashville SC is 144% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / match - Toronto · 1.78 pts / match - Nashville SC

Toronto - half-time state
9% leading45% draw45% trailing
Nashville SC - half-time state
43% leading48% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per match (1st half)1.78
TorontoNashville SC
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.87
TorontoNashville SC
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
TorontoNashville SC
1.23Average goals (1st half)1.22
TorontoNashville SC
41%Clean sheet before half-time70%
TorontoNashville SC
64%No goal before half-time48%
TorontoNashville SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)2.04
TorontoNashville SC
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
TorontoNashville SC
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
TorontoNashville SC
1.95Average goals (2nd half)1.57
TorontoNashville SC
36%Clean sheet after half-time70%
TorontoNashville SC
41%No goal after half-time26%
TorontoNashville SC

Toronto - second-half results

36% W36% R27% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nashville SC - second-half results

57% W35% R9% P
41
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Toronto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Nashville SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.61.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toronto
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
6
16-30
5
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Nashville SC
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
9
4
16-30
7
3
31-45
9
3
46-60
7
4
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toronto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Nashville SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

TorontoLigaNashville SC
Average goals in match 3.183.19 2.78
Both teams scored 82%63% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%62% 57%
Clean sheets 14%21% 48%
Goal before half-time 68%77% 61%
Goal after half-time 77%81% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Toronto and Nashville SC play?

Toronto face Nashville SC on 9 September 2026 in MLS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Nashville SC?

Toronto score 1.45 goals per game on average and Nashville SC 2.04. The MLS average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Toronto's matches and 43% of Nashville SC's.

What form are Toronto and Nashville SC in?

Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Nashville SC 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Nashville SC?

The statistical background for Toronto vs Nashville SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.