Toronto vs New England Revolution: match statistics
Toronto vs New England Revolution: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toronto played New England Revolution in MLS (United States). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: BMO Field. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Toronto: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. New England Revolution: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toronto scores 1.33 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. New England Revolution scores 1.56 and concedes 1.28. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toronto 78%, New England Revolution 56%. Over 2.5: Toronto 61%, New England Revolution 61%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Toronto has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Toronto: 11.8 shots per match, New England Revolution: 10.8.
Match halves
Toronto: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00. New England Revolution: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Toronto: 76-90+ (10 goals). New England Revolution: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toronto have a poor overall season record, but they average 1.89 goals per home match, while New England Revolution score only 1.00 goal per away game. The hosts also create higher-quality chances: their average xG stands at 1.48 compared with 1.22 for the visitors, while opponents are allowed as much as 1.83 xG away from home. Toronto are winless in their last five matches, scoring just 3 goals during that run, which significantly increases the likelihood of a draw. The hosts’ defence is also far from reliable, as they concede an average of 2.00 goals at home and have failed to keep a clean sheet, but New England have lost 57% of their away matches and won only 14%. Toronto’s edge in chance creation and attacking efficiency at home supports a slight lean towards the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Toronto score an average of 1.91 goals at home, while New England Revolution concede as many as 1.86 goals per away match and have kept no clean sheets. The visitors score an average of 1.00 goals, but their xG stands at 1.22, while Toronto allow opponents an xG of 1.51, providing solid grounds to expect a goal from New England as well. The season-long percentage of matches featuring goals from both sides stands at 71% for New England and 45% for Toronto, while Toronto recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches. A warning sign is the hosts’ poor recent finishing, having scored just 3 goals in five matches, but the visitors’ exceptionally leaky defence clearly increases their chances of breaking through. Therefore, the BTTS - Yes scenario is slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Toronto score an average of 1.91 goals at home, while New England Revolution concede as many as 1.86 goals per away match, which clearly supports the hosts’ attacking output. The visitors average 1.00 goal away from home, whereas Toronto allow opponents an xG of 1.51, meaning their goal is also a realistic scenario. Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 73% of Toronto’s matches and 71% of New England’s, while the league average stands at a high 3.22 goals. Caution with higher lines is warranted by Toronto’s last five matches, in which the team scored only 3 goals, with both teams recording Over 2.5 in just 40% of matches. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5, as the projected 2.60 goals provides this line with a clearer safety margin than Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Toronto win, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches and did not lead in any of them. Over the course of the season, however, Toronto have been significantly stronger: they average 2.27 points per match, win 73% of their games, and concede just 0.91 goals on average, while New England win only 14% of their matches and allow opponents to score 1.86 goals per game. The hosts’ advantage is particularly evident after half-time, when they average 1.18 goals scored and 0.27 conceded, compared with New England’s 0.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Toronto also have a 64% second-half win rate, compared with 14% for New England, supporting a turnaround after a balanced opening following the break. Caution is warranted due to their recent form: Toronto have scored only 0.6 goals per match in their last five games, meaning a full-time draw and an away win still account for a significant part of the distribution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New England Revolution is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Toronto · 1 pts / match - New England Revolution
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New England Revolution is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Toronto · 1.56 goals / match - New England Revolution
New England Revolution is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Toronto · 1.28 goals / match - New England Revolution
Toronto scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while New England Revolution keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
New England Revolution scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toronto
Over / Under - New England Revolution
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New England Revolution is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Toronto · 1.11 pts / match - New England Revolution
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New England Revolution - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toronto
New England Revolution
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.11 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 61% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toronto 0 - 1 - 0 New England Revolution. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs New England Revolution?
The MLS match finished Toronto 2:1 New England Revolution. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs New England Revolution?
Toronto score 1.33 goals per game on average and New England Revolution 1.56. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Toronto's matches and 56% of New England Revolution's.
What form are Toronto and New England Revolution in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and New England Revolution 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs New England Revolution?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toronto vs New England Revolution: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.