Toulouse vs Lens: match statistics
Lens sits atop the table, displaying impressive form with five consecutive victories, while Toulouse is positioned seventh. The visitors boast a high away win percentage (63%) and an impeccable recent run, securing 15 points from a possible 15. Toulouse maintains a solid home record with 50% clean sheets, yet their form is less stable with a 38% home win rate. Lens has demonstrated superior scoring efficiency in the last five matches (10 goals) compared to Toulouse (8 goals), alongside a better goal difference. Considering current form, league standing, and Lens' away statistics, the visitors are the favorites for this clash, although Toulouse cannot be underestimated when playing in front of their home crowd.
Toulouse vs Lens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toulouse played Lens in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 2 January 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Toulouse: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lens: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toulouse scores 1.50 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Lens scores 1.75 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toulouse 44%, Lens 50%. Over 2.5: Toulouse 50%, Lens 63%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lens has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.35. Toulouse: 12.2 shots per match, Lens: 13.9.
Match halves
Toulouse: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.06. Lens: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Toulouse: 76-90+ (9 goals). Lens: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lens sits atop the table, displaying impressive form with five consecutive victories, while Toulouse is positioned seventh. The visitors boast a high away win percentage (63%) and an impeccable recent run, securing 15 points from a possible 15. Toulouse maintains a solid home record with 50% clean sheets, yet their form is less stable with a 38% home win rate. Lens has demonstrated superior scoring efficiency in the last five matches (10 goals) compared to Toulouse (8 goals), alongside a better goal difference. Considering current form, league standing, and Lens' away statistics, the visitors are the favorites for this clash, although Toulouse cannot be underestimated when playing in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Toulouse · 3 pts / match - Lens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lens is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Toulouse · 1.75 goals / match - Lens
Lens is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Toulouse · 0.81 goals / match - Lens
Toulouse scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Lens scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Lens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lens is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Toulouse · 1.69 pts / match - Lens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toulouse
Lens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Lens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Lens?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 0:3 Lens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Lens?
Toulouse score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lens 1.75. The Ligue 1 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Toulouse's matches and 50% of Lens's.
What form are Toulouse and Lens in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lens 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Lens?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.