Toulouse vs Lille: match statistics
Toulouse vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toulouse played Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Venue: Stadium de Toulouse. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Toulouse: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Lille: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toulouse scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Lille scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toulouse 50%, Lille 50%. Over 2.5: Toulouse 50%, Lille 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Lille has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.06. Toulouse: 11.5 shots per match, Lille: 10.0.
Match halves
Toulouse: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Lille: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Toulouse: 0-15 (1 goals). Lille: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lille sit 2nd, while Toulouse are 17th, and the hosts’ last five matches have produced 2 wins and 3 draws without a defeat. Toulouse have scored just 4 goals and conceded 9 during this period, whereas Lille have found the net 13 times and conceded 8. At home, Toulouse average 17 shots per match, but only 2 on target, and are yet to score despite an xG of 1.56, highlighting a clear finishing problem. Lille have won 100% of their away matches, averaging 2 goals scored, keeping clean sheets in every game, and registering 8 shots on target per match. Although Lille’s away xG against stands at 1.86, Toulouse’s very poor finishing and the visitors’ significantly more consistent run strongly support a Lille win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Lille kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far, while Toulouse failed to score in any of them, clearly supporting the scenario in which the hosts do not find the net. In their last 5 matches, Toulouse averaged just 0.8 goals and recorded an xG of 1.04, whereas Lille scored 2.6 goals per match with an xG of 1.70. The hosts conceded 1.8 goals per match during this period, giving Lille strong grounds to score at least once, but this does not necessarily mean both teams will score. Although Lille recorded BTTS - Yes in 80% of their last five matches, Toulouse did so in only 40%, and their poor attacking efficiency is a key argument in favour of BTTS - No. The possibility of both teams scoring remains significant due to the league's 60% BTTS rate and Lille conceding an average xG of 1.76 over their last five appearances, but the stronger signal points to a potential away clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have played matches featuring at least 2 goals in 100% of cases so far. Lille have averaged 2.6 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Toulouse have conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period, which clearly supports the visitors’ attacking output. The hosts have been less effective, averaging 0.8 goals in their last five matches, but Lille have allowed opponents 1.6 goals per game over the same period, making a Toulouse goal a realistic possibility. The potential for chance creation also points towards an open game: Lille’s average xG is 1.70, while Toulouse allow opponents 1.24 xG; meanwhile, the hosts generate 1.04 xG and face 1.76 xG allowed by Lille. The projected total of 2.70 goals gives Over 1.5 a clear edge, whereas the 2.5 and 3.5 lines are already considerably more balanced.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lille are showing clearly better current form: they have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and earning 1.8 points per game, while Toulouse have lost 3 of their 5 matches and scored just 0.8 goals per game. The visitors are particularly strong from the outset, having led at the break in 50% of their recent matches and scored an average of 1.25 goals before half-time, whereas Toulouse have not led at half-time on any occasion and have scored only 0.2 goals on average. Lille’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 1.53 compared with the hosts’ 1.03, while their number of shots on target is 8.0 versus 4.0. After the break, Toulouse concede an average of 1.2 goals across their last five matches, while Lille score 1.5 on average in this period, reinforcing the scenario of the visitors maintaining or extending their lead. The 2/2 HT/FT pick is therefore the strongest, although Lille’s high tendency to finish matches level—60% across their last five games—leaves a significant chance of draw-related outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 17% | 60% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lille is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Toulouse · 2 pts / match - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lille is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Toulouse · 2 goals / match - Lille
Lille is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Toulouse · 1 goals / match - Lille
Toulouse scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Lille scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Lille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lille is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Toulouse · 3 pts / match - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toulouse
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 3.00 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Toulouse 0 - 0 - 2 Lille. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 0:1 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Lille?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0, Lille won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Lille?
Toulouse score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lille 2.00. The Ligue 1 average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Toulouse's matches and 50% of Lille's.
What form are Toulouse and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Lille 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Lille?
The statistical background for Toulouse vs Lille — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.