France - Ligue 1Stadium de ToulouseData current as of 30 August 2026

Toulouse vs Lille: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Toulouse vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Toulouse play Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 3 September 2026. Venue: Stadium de Toulouse.

Current form

Toulouse: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Lille: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Toulouse scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Lille scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.06 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toulouse 50%, Lille 50%. Over 2.5: Toulouse 50%, Lille 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Lille has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.06. Toulouse: 11.5 shots per match, Lille: 10.0.

Match halves

Toulouse: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Lille: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Toulouse: 0-15 (1 goals). Lille: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2
ToulouseLille
2Goals conceded / match1
ToulouseLille
49%Average possession35%
ToulouseLille
2Shots on target / match6
ToulouseLille

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.5Shots per match10
ToulouseLille
2Shots on target6
ToulouseLille
8.7%Shot conversion20%
ToulouseLille
49%Possession35%
ToulouseLille
1.06xG for1.28
ToulouseLille
1.82xG against1.96
ToulouseLille

Shooting quality

Toulouse: BalancedLille: Counter-attacking
ToulouseLille
Accuracy (shots on target)17%60%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.090.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lille is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.5 pts / match - Toulouse · 2 pts / match - Lille

Toulouse
LD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Lille
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lille is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Toulouse · 2 goals / match - Lille

Lille is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Toulouse · 1 goals / match - Lille

Toulouse scoring profile: mixed

Toulouse scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Lille scoring profile: very strong

Lille scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

2Goals scored (season)4
ToulouseLille
4Goals conceded (season)2
ToulouseLille
3Average goals in match3
ToulouseLille
2Goals scored (last 5)4
ToulouseLille
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
ToulouseLille

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
ToulouseLille
50%2 goals100%
ToulouseLille
0%3 goals0%
ToulouseLille
0%4 goals0%
ToulouseLille

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
ToulouseLille
100%2 goals50%
ToulouseLille
0%3 goals0%
ToulouseLille
0%4 goals0%
ToulouseLille

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
ToulouseLille
50%BTTS in both halves0%
ToulouseLille
50%Scored in both halves50%
ToulouseLille

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
ToulouseLille
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ToulouseLille
50%BTTS - last 550%
ToulouseLille

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
ToulouseLille
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
ToulouseLille
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ToulouseLille

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
ToulouseLille
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ToulouseLille
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
ToulouseLille

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lille is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Toulouse · 3 pts / match - Lille

Toulouse - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Lille - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)3
ToulouseLille
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.5
ToulouseLille
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
ToulouseLille
1Average goals (1st half)1.5
ToulouseLille
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
ToulouseLille
50%No goal before half-time0%
ToulouseLille

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)0.5
ToulouseLille
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ToulouseLille
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
ToulouseLille
2Average goals (2nd half)1.5
ToulouseLille
0%Clean sheet after half-time50%
ToulouseLille
50%No goal after half-time50%
ToulouseLille

Toulouse - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lille - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toulouse - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.50
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.51.5
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%0%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1
Lille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.50
Goals scored / match1.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.51.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toulouse
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Lille
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toulouse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Lille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

ToulouseLigaLille
Average goals in match 3.003.06 3.00
Both teams scored 50%59% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%65% 50%
Clean sheets 0%26% 50%
Goal before half-time 50%71% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%76% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
71%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Toulouse 0 - 0 - 2 Lille. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Toulouse FC
0 : 4
Lille OSC Métropole
Lille OSC Métropole
2 : 1
Toulouse FC

FAQ

When do Toulouse and Lille play?

Toulouse face Lille on 3 September 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Lille?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0, Lille won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Lille?

Toulouse score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lille 2.00. The Ligue 1 average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Toulouse's matches and 50% of Lille's.

What form are Toulouse and Lille in?

Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Lille 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Lille?

The statistical background for Toulouse vs Lille — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.