Toulouse vs Lorient: match statistics
Toulouse display solid home form with a +3 goal difference and a 10% conversion rate at their own stadium. The hosts have won 31% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals with an xG of 1.64, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Lorient perform significantly worse in away matches - only 15% wins, a negative goal difference of -10, and merely 0.85 goals on average per match with an xG of 1.22. The visitors struggle to keep clean sheets away (15% CS%), conceding an average of 1.62 goals, and their high FTS% (54%) confirms issues with finishing. The recent form of both teams is balanced; however, Toulouse's home advantage and Lorient's away weakness point towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' solid share of points.
Toulouse vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toulouse played Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Toulouse: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Lorient: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toulouse scores 1.42 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Lorient scores 1.42 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toulouse 42%, Lorient 58%. Over 2.5: Toulouse 46%, Lorient 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Toulouse has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.30. Toulouse: 13.3 shots per match, Lorient: 11.5.
Match halves
Toulouse: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.85. Lorient: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Toulouse: 76-90+ (12 goals). Lorient: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toulouse display solid home form with a +3 goal difference and a 10% conversion rate at their own stadium. The hosts have won 31% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals with an xG of 1.64, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Lorient perform significantly worse in away matches - only 15% wins, a negative goal difference of -10, and merely 0.85 goals on average per match with an xG of 1.22. The visitors struggle to keep clean sheets away (15% CS%), conceding an average of 1.62 goals, and their high FTS% (54%) confirms issues with finishing. The recent form of both teams is balanced; however, Toulouse's home advantage and Lorient's away weakness point towards a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to both teams' solid share of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lorient is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Toulouse · 1.8 pts / match - Lorient
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Toulouse · 1.54 goals / match - Lorient
Toulouse scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Lorient scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toulouse
Over / Under - Lorient
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Toulouse · 1.58 pts / match - Lorient
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toulouse
Lorient
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.77 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toulouse 0 - 1 - 0 Lorient. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Lorient?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 1:0 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Lorient?
Toulouse score 1.42 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.42. The Ligue 1 average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Toulouse's matches and 58% of Lorient's.
What form are Toulouse and Lorient in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lorient 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Lorient?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.