Toulouse vs Monaco: match statistics
Toulouse vs Monaco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toulouse play Monaco in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 21:05. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Toulouse: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Monaco: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toulouse scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Monaco scores 1.76 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toulouse 48%, Monaco 65%. Over 2.5: Toulouse 55%, Monaco 65%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Monaco has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.41. Toulouse: 12.8 shots per match, Monaco: 12.5.
Match halves
Toulouse: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82. Monaco: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.12.
Goals by minute
Toulouse: 76-90+ (16 goals). Monaco: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Monaco win ('2'), because the visitors are clearly in better form — Monaco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches and average 2.0 points per game, while Toulouse have won only 1 of their last 5 and lost 4 (averaging 0.6 pts). This season Monaco have scored 52 goals versus Toulouse's 41, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 9 goals compared to the hosts' 5, despite similar goals-per-game figures (Toulouse 1.4 at home vs Monaco 1.36 away). Defensively Toulouse perform better at home — conceding 1.4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 40% of matches, whereas Monaco concede 1.64 on the road and have only 14% clean sheets; however xG shows parity in chance quality (Toulouse 1.55 xG at home vs Monaco 1.46 xG away). Monaco dominate possession more often (52% possession away vs 43% for Toulouse at home) and have a superior wins record this season (15 vs 10), which gives them a tactical edge. Based on this I assess the probability of a Monaco win at 55%, a draw at 20% and a Toulouse win at 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toulouse | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toulouse is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Toulouse · 1 pts / match - Monaco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Toulouse · 1.76 goals / match - Monaco
Toulouse is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Toulouse · 1.59 goals / match - Monaco
Toulouse scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Monaco scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toulouse
Over / Under — Monaco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monaco is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Toulouse · 1.32 pts / match - Monaco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toulouse
Monaco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Toulouse | Liga | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toulouse 0 - 0 - 1 Monaco. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Toulouse vs Monaco?
The Ligue 1 match finished Toulouse 2:2 Monaco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toulouse vs Monaco?
Toulouse score 1.42 goals per game on average and Monaco 1.76. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Toulouse's matches and 65% of Monaco's.
What form are Toulouse and Monaco in?
Over the last 5 games Toulouse have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Monaco 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toulouse vs Monaco?
The statistical background for Toulouse vs Monaco — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.