TPS vs VPS: match statistics
TPS vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TPS played VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Veritas Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
TPS: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. VPS: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. VPS scores 1.00 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TPS 63%, VPS 50%. Over 2.5: TPS 38%, VPS 25%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.33. TPS: 10.6 shots per match, VPS: 10.9.
Match halves
TPS: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. VPS: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
TPS: 46-60 (3 goals). VPS: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
TPS has strong home numbers: on average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match, with a 75% win rate and 50% clean sheets. In the last 5 fixtures TPS scored 5 goals and averages 1.2 points per game (2 wins, 3 losses), while VPS in their last 5 matches scored 15 goals and average 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts convert chances better — TPS averages 10.25 shots with 4.5 on target and has a 15% conversion rate at home, whereas VPS away average is 9 shots with 4 on target and only 6% efficiency plus 50% of away games without scoring. xG is similar (TPS 1.31 at home vs VPS 1.18 away), but the advantage goes to better finishing and the hosts’ stable defense (0.5 goals conceded), therefore I predict a TPS win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes — signals favor goals from both sides. TPS averages 1.5 goals at home this season and has 75% BTTS matches, while VPS averages 0.5 goals away and has 25% BTTS, producing mixed signals. However, the last 5 matches clearly favor goals — VPS scored 15 goals in the last 5 (3.0 avg) and has 60% BTTS in that period, and TPS scored 5 goals (1.0) and has 20% BTTS, so the visitors have a real scoring capability. xG supports a both-teams-to-score scenario: expected xG for TPS ≈1.34 (1.49 xG_for_home vs 1.18 xG_against_away) and for VPS ≈1.27 (1.18 xG_for_away vs 1.35 xG_against_home), both values >1.0. Although VPS has 50% clean sheets away and TPS has higher shooting accuracy (12% vs 6%) and more shots (12.75 vs 9.0), the combination of xG, shot volume and the visitors’ form favors BTTS (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.34 expected goals for TPS and 1.27 for VPS, totaling 2.61 goals. Basis: xG values — TPS xG_for 1.49 and VPS xG_for 1.18, with xG_against 1.35 (TPS) and 1.18 (VPS); averaging pairs yields (1.49+1.18)/2=1.34 and (1.18+1.35)/2=1.27. Seasonally TPS at home has Over 1.5 in 75% of matches, while VPS away has only 25%, and the league average is 2.37 goals — this gives a strong signal for Over 1.5. I assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely: TPS has 50% Over 2.5 at home, VPS 0%, but VPS scored 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 avg), and the recent xG sum for both teams is ~2.91, so I estimate ~58% chance for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 appears unlikely (seasonally 25% for home and 0% for away), therefore I recommend betting the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
TPS holds a clear statistical edge: the home side scores an average of 1.5 goals per match versus VPS’s 0.5 and posts an xG of 1.49 against 1.18, indicating greater attacking threat from TPS. At home TPS led at the break in 50% of matches, averaging 1.0 goals by halftime while conceding only 0.25, whereas VPS led at the break in only 25% of away fixtures. TPS also displays superior finishing efficiency (12% on 4.5 shots on target) compared to VPS (6% on 4.0 shots on target), and second-half goals average 1.25 for TPS versus 0.25 for VPS, increasing the hosts’ likelihood of extending a lead after the break. Additionally, TPS is unbeaten at home (0% home defeats) and has a 50% season win rate, while VPS has only a 25% away win rate; although the visitors led at halftime in 60% of their last five matches, the strongest signal from the data is the scenario of the home side leading at halftime and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TPS | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
VPS is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - TPS · 2.2 pts / match - VPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - TPS · 1 goals / match - VPS
VPS is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - TPS · 0.75 goals / match - VPS
TPS scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
VPS scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - TPS
Over / Under - VPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - TPS · 1.63 pts / match - VPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TPS
VPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| TPS | Liga | VPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.25 | 2.34 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 79% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of TPS vs VPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 1:0 VPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs VPS?
TPS score 1.25 goals per game on average and VPS 1.00. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 63% of TPS's matches and 50% of VPS's.
What form are TPS and VPS in?
Over the last 5 games TPS have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and VPS 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs VPS?
The statistical background for TPS vs VPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.