Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics
Trabzonspor is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season and only 3 losses. The hosts present solid home form with 55% of matches won at home, scoring an average of 1.91 goals while conceding just 1 goal per match. Fatih Karagümrük finds themselves in a dramatic situation in 18th position, with a catastrophic away record – 82% losses, 0% clean sheets, and an average of 2.09 goals conceded per match. The difference in xG (1.98 vs 1.2) and possession (56% vs 47%) further confirms the hosts' advantage. Considering the guests' dismal away run (10 consecutive matches without a win) and Trabzonspor's solid disposition, I expect a clear victory for the hosts, likely by a margin of at least two goals.
Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trabzonspor played Fatih Karagümrük in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Trabzonspor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fatih Karagümrük: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trabzonspor scores 1.96 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.87 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trabzonspor 65%, Fatih Karagümrük 48%. Over 2.5: Trabzonspor 57%, Fatih Karagümrük 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Trabzonspor has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.17. Trabzonspor: 15.8 shots per match, Fatih Karagümrük: 10.9.
Match halves
Trabzonspor: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.09. Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Trabzonspor: 76-90+ (11 goals). Fatih Karagümrük: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Trabzonspor is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season and only 3 losses. The hosts present solid home form with 55% of matches won at home, scoring an average of 1.91 goals while conceding just 1 goal per match. Fatih Karagümrük finds themselves in a dramatic situation in 18th position, with a catastrophic away record – 82% losses, 0% clean sheets, and an average of 2.09 goals conceded per match. The difference in xG (1.98 vs 1.2) and possession (56% vs 47%) further confirms the hosts' advantage. Considering the guests' dismal away run (10 consecutive matches without a win) and Trabzonspor's solid disposition, I expect a clear victory for the hosts, likely by a margin of at least two goals.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trabzonspor | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Trabzonspor is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Trabzonspor · 0.8 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Trabzonspor is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Trabzonspor · 0.87 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Trabzonspor · 1.83 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Trabzonspor keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trabzonspor
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Trabzonspor is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Trabzonspor · 0.87 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trabzonspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trabzonspor
Fatih Karagümrük
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Trabzonspor | Liga | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.64 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Trabzonspor 1 - 0 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The Süper Lig match finished Trabzonspor 3:1 Fatih Karagümrük. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Trabzonspor score 1.96 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 0.87. The Süper Lig average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Trabzonspor's matches and 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's.
What form are Trabzonspor and Fatih Karagümrük in?
Over the last 5 games Trabzonspor have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.