Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Swindon Town clearly outperforms Tranmere Rovers in terms of form and seasonal results. The hosts occupy 20th place with just a 21% home win rate and a dismal run of 5 matches without a win (0.2 points per game). Tranmere has a negative goal difference at home (-12) and loses over half of their home matches (53%). Swindon Town ranks 6th with an impressive 53% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). The visitors score an average of 1.58 goals away, with just 11% of matches without a goal, indicating offensive efficiency. The difference in quality and form between the two teams is significant enough that an away win is the most likely scenario for this match.
Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tranmere Rovers played Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Tranmere Rovers: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Swindon Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tranmere Rovers scores 1.26 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.63 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tranmere Rovers 61%, Swindon Town 58%. Over 2.5: Tranmere Rovers 58%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Tranmere Rovers: 12.1 shots per match, Swindon Town: 12.3.
Match halves
Tranmere Rovers: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.74. Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Tranmere Rovers: 76-90+ (14 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town clearly outperforms Tranmere Rovers in terms of form and seasonal results. The hosts occupy 20th place with just a 21% home win rate and a dismal run of 5 matches without a win (0.2 points per game). Tranmere has a negative goal difference at home (-12) and loses over half of their home matches (53%). Swindon Town ranks 6th with an impressive 53% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). The visitors score an average of 1.58 goals away, with just 11% of matches without a goal, indicating offensive efficiency. The difference in quality and form between the two teams is significant enough that an away win is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tranmere Rovers | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Tranmere Rovers · 1 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Tranmere Rovers · 1.63 goals / match - Swindon Town
Swindon Town is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Tranmere Rovers · 1.18 goals / match - Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Tranmere Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tranmere Rovers
Over / Under - Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tranmere Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tranmere Rovers
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Tranmere Rovers | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tranmere Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Swindon Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Tranmere Rovers 0:1 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Tranmere Rovers score 1.26 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.63. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Tranmere Rovers's matches and 58% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Tranmere Rovers have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Swindon Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tranmere Rovers vs Swindon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.