Trans vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Trans vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trans played Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Trans: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kuressaare: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trans scores 1.33 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 1.17 and concedes 2.17. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trans 67%, Kuressaare 50%. Over 2.5: Trans 83%, Kuressaare 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Trans has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.48. Trans: 13.8 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.3.
Match halves
Trans: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Kuressaare: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Trans: 31-45+ (3 goals). Kuressaare: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Trans is the match favorite thanks to a clear superiority in quality of chances: at home they average 18 shots (6.33 on target) and score 2.00 goals per match with an average xG of 2.26. Kuressaare away averages only 10.33 shots (3.33 on target), 0.33 goals per match and xG 1.37, and possession is only 34%. Defensively the visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals away and have an xG against of 2.64, while Trans at home concede 1.00 goal and have xG against 1.73, which demonstrates greater defensive stability for the hosts. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 7 goals each, but Kuressaare conceded 11 versus 9 conceded by Trans, and the visitors’ away form is 'lll' with 0% away wins. Given Trans’s 67% home win rate and 67% of Kuressaare’s away matches without a goal, I expect a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Trans averages 2.0 goals per match this season with xG 1.59 and 1.67 conceded; Kuressaare scores only 0.33 goals seasonally but has improved to 1.4 goals in the last 5 matches and currently posts xG 1.56, indicating an uptick in the visitors' attack. Kuressaare is defensively vulnerable — conceding 2.67 goals per game with xG against 2.64 — while Trans averages 6.0 shots on target with a 16% conversion, so the hosts will create chances and are likely to score. Both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, the league BTTS rate is 60%, Trans at home records BTTS 67% (Kuressaare seasonally 33%), and in the last 5 matches both sides have BTTS at 60%, providing an additional signal. Considering the hosts’ higher propensity for Goal/Goal games, Kuressaare’s defensive fragility and the visitors’ offensive improvement over the last 5 matches, I rate BTTS - Yes at 70% versus 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 2.12 goals for Trans and 1.54 for Kuressaare (total 3.66), calculated as averages: home xG_for 1.59 combined with away xG_against 2.64 yields ~2.12 for the hosts, and away xG_for 1.37 with home xG_against 1.71 yields ~1.54 for the visitors. This aligns with the league average of 3.27 goals per match and with the last 5 matches for both teams, where Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of cases (last 5 matches: Over 2.5 in 80% for both). Trans averages 2.0 goals per season with 6.0 shots on target and 16% conversion, while Kuressaare concedes an average of 2.67 goals and has xG_against 2.64, which increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts. Seasonal metrics show Over 1.5 in 67% of Trans matches and 100% of Kuressaare matches, and Over 2.5 in 67% for both, which, combined with the expected 3.66 goals, provides a strong signal for over. Therefore I recommend Over 2.5 as the best line — it is the most reliable and strongest edge based on xG, goal averages, and the prevalence of Over 2.5 in the last 5 matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Trans is the clear favorite: average goals scored per season are 2.0 versus 0.33 for Kuressaare, average points per season 2.0 versus 0.0, and win rate 67% versus 0% for the visitors. At half-time the data also favor the hosts – seasonally Trans led at the break in 33% of matches and in 40% of their last five, while Kuressaare did not lead seasonally (0%) and only in 20% of their last five; average goals by half are 0.67 (Trans) vs 0.0 (Kuressaare) seasonally, or 1.0 vs 0.4 in the last five. The hosts create better chances (xG 1.59 vs 1.37), have more shots on target (6.0 vs 3.33) and higher conversion rate (16% vs 3%), giving them an advantage in chance conversion. Kuressaare concedes on average 2.67 goals per match and has an xG against of 2.64, while Trans scores on average 1.33 second-half goals versus 0.33 for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of maintaining a lead and securing the win. On this basis the most likely scenario is Trans leading at half-time and winning at full-time, hence the recommendation HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trans | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Trans is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Trans · 1.17 goals / match - Kuressaare
Trans is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Trans · 2.17 goals / match - Kuressaare
Trans scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trans
Over / Under - Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Trans is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Trans · 0.67 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trans
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Trans | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.17 | 3.27 | • 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 93% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Trans 1 - 1 - 2 Kuressaare. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Trans vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 1:2 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Kuressaare?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Trans won 1, Kuressaare won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Kuressaare?
Trans score 1.33 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.17. The Meistriliiga average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Trans's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Trans and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Trans have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kuressaare 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Kuressaare?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trans vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.