Estonia - MeistriliigaKreenholmi StaadionData current as of 23 October 2026

Trans vs Nõmme United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Trans vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Trans play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 27 October 2026. Venue: Kreenholmi Staadion.

Current form

Trans: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nõmme United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Trans scores 0.78 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.56 and concedes 2.31. League average: 3.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Trans 47%, Nõmme United 75%. Over 2.5: Trans 66%, Nõmme United 88%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Nõmme United has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.50. Trans: 12.7 shots per match, Nõmme United: 12.0.

Match halves

Trans: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31. Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Trans: 16-30 (6 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.10)
(3.64)
(2.82)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TransNõmme United
0.78Goals scored / match1.56
TransNõmme United
2.19Goals conceded / match2.31
TransNõmme United
45%Average possession47%
TransNõmme United
3.84Shots on target / match4.5
TransNõmme United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.69Shots per match11.97
TransNõmme United
3.84Shots on target4.5
TransNõmme United
6.2%Shot conversion13.1%
TransNõmme United
45%Possession47%
TransNõmme United
1.5xG for1.54
TransNõmme United
1.69xG against2.09
TransNõmme United

Shooting quality

Trans: BalancedNõmme United: Counter-attacking
TransNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)30%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nõmme United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Trans · 0.6 pts / match - Nõmme United

Trans
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
16% W16% D69% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-22
0.63 pts / match · goal difference -45
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-9
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Nõmme United
LLLLW
Season result split
31% W3% D66% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-1-21
0.97 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-10
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.78 goals / match - Trans · 1.56 goals / match - Nõmme United

Trans is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.19 goals / match - Trans · 2.31 goals / match - Nõmme United

Trans scoring profile: very strong

Trans scores in 53% of matches (17 of 32 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 32 matches).

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 matches).

25Goals scored (season)50
TransNõmme United
70Goals conceded (season)74
TransNõmme United
2.97Average goals in match3.88
TransNõmme United
4Goals scored (last 5)6
TransNõmme United
8Goals conceded (last 5)12
TransNõmme United

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal78%
TransNõmme United
19%2 goals41%
TransNõmme United
6%3 goals19%
TransNõmme United
0%4 goals6%
TransNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal97%
TransNõmme United
66%2 goals66%
TransNõmme United
31%3 goals41%
TransNõmme United
13%4 goals16%
TransNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time28%
TransNõmme United
0%BTTS in both halves3%
TransNõmme United
9%Scored in both halves19%
TransNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS72%
TransNõmme United
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
TransNõmme United
60%BTTS - last 540%
TransNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
TransNõmme United
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
TransNõmme United
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
TransNõmme United

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
TransNõmme United
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
TransNõmme United
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
TransNõmme United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme United is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.81 pts / match - Trans · 1 pts / match - Nõmme United

Trans - half-time state
19% leading25% draw56% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.81Points per match (1st half)1
TransNõmme United
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.69
TransNõmme United
1.06Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
TransNõmme United
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.75
TransNõmme United
31%Clean sheet before half-time28%
TransNõmme United
69%No goal before half-time53%
TransNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.69Points per match (2nd half)0.97
TransNõmme United
0.31Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
TransNõmme United
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
TransNõmme United
1.44Average goals (2nd half)2.13
TransNõmme United
22%Clean sheet after half-time22%
TransNõmme United
69%No goal after half-time50%
TransNõmme United

Trans - second-half results

16% W22% D63% L
26
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-19
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-26
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme United - second-half results

25% W22% D53% L
32
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Trans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Trans
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
9
16-30
6
18
31-45
2
7
46-60
3
11
61-75
5
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
9
16
16-30
10
10
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
11
61-75
11
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TransLigaNõmme United
Average goals in match▼ 2.973.09▲ 3.88
Both teams scored▼ 47%57%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 66%64%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▼ 9%23%▼ 3%
Goal before half-time▲ 84%77%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▲ 94%88%▲ 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Trans 1 - 0 - 2 Nõmme United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Trans and Nõmme United play?

Trans face Nõmme United on 27 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Kreenholmi Staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Nõmme United?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Trans won 1, Nõmme United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Nõmme United?

Trans score 0.78 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.56. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Trans's matches and 75% of Nõmme United's.

What form are Trans and Nõmme United in?

Over the last 5 games Trans have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nõmme United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Nõmme United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trans vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.