Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 06 September 2026

Trans vs Tammeka: match statistics

Trans crest
Trans
3 : 0half-time 2:0
Tammeka crest
Tammeka

Trans vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Trans played Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Trans: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match. Tammeka: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Trans scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Tammeka scores 2.00 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Trans 75%, Tammeka 75%. Over 2.5: Trans 75%, Tammeka 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Trans has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.27. Trans: 14.5 shots per match, Tammeka: 10.0.

Match halves

Trans: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Tammeka: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Trans: 31-45+ (2 goals). Tammeka: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

I back an away win for Tammeka. Guests have won 3 of their last 5 matches versus Trans’ 1. Tammeka scored 10 goals in their last 5 games compared to Trans’ 4, with average goals per game away 2.5 for Tammeka and 1.5 for Trans at home. Trans produces higher home xG (2.64 vs 1.72 for Tammeka), more shots per game (21.5 vs 14) and greater possession (57% vs 50%), but their conversion rate is only ~7% versus 18% for the visitors. Defensively Trans concedes 1.5 goals per home game and Tammeka concedes 2.5 on the road; however Tammeka’s efficiency (10 goals in 5 matches and 18% conversion) offsets weaker defensive numbers. Considering form (1.8 points per game for Tammeka vs 0.6 for Trans) and the clear edge in finishing, I favor an away victory for Tammeka.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal for BTTS is that Tammeka has a season-long BTTS rate of 100% and scores on average 2.5 goals per match (8 goals this season), while Trans concedes on average 1.0 goals per season and 1.6 in the last 5 matches. Both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, and in their last 5 matches each records 60% BTTS; the league meanwhile has 55% BTTS matches, further supporting the both-teams-to-score scenario. Tammeka produces 14 shots and 7.5 SOT on average with xG_for 1.72, while Trans has 6 shots and 2.5 SOT with xG_for 0.83 — the visitors therefore create significantly more chances and approach the home xG_against of Trans at 1.97. Despite a lower xG, Trans has a high conversion rate of 25% and a season average of 1.5 goals scored (4 goals this season), which means the hosts can also find the net; combined the two teams have 12 goals scored this season (4 and 8). Considering Tammeka’s 100% BTTS, the lack of clean sheets for both sides and the visitors’ advantage in shots and xG, I estimate BTTS probability at around 80% vs 20% for No Goal, therefore I back "BTTS - Yes."

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The xG- and defense-based model forecasts 1.21 goals for Trans and 1.85 for Tammeka, totaling approximately 3.06 goals. xG indicates an advantage for the visitors: Tammeka’s xG is 1.72 versus 0.83 for Trans, while Trans’s xG against is 1.97, suggesting a higher risk of goals conceded by the home side. Tammeka averages 14 shots and 7.5 on target per match versus 6 and 2.5 for Trans; with conversion rates of 18% for Tammeka and 25% for Trans this historically translates to roughly 2.5 goals for the visitors and 1.5 for the hosts, consistent with seasonal averages. Season metrics confirm a high-goals profile (Over 1.5: Trans 50% vs Tammeka 100%, Over 2.5: Trans 50% vs Tammeka 100%, league average 3.15 goals per match), therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (≈93%), while Over 2.5 also has solid chances (~70%).

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Half-time statistics clearly favor Tammeka: the visitors average 2.0 goals by the break versus 0.0 for Trans, total first-45-minute goals are 7 for the visitors compared to 1 for the hosts, and Tammeka led at the break in 50% of matches versus 0% for Trans. Over the full match Tammeka has a clear advantage in chance creation and quality — xG 1.72 versus 0.83, average shots 14 vs 6 and shots on target 7.5 vs 2.5, and a season scoring average of 2.5 vs 1.5. Trans, however, are stronger after the break — the hosts score an average of 1.5 goals in the second half versus 0.5 for the visitors, which increases their chance of a comeback and a draw. Additionally, Tammeka’s away matches see both teams score in 100% of cases, so I expect goals from both sides. Combining these data (Tammeka’s HT advantage and xG and Trans’s potential second-half reaction), the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at the break and holding the win to full time (HT/FT 2/2).

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
TransTammeka
11Shots26
TransTammeka
4Shots on target9
TransTammeka
1.5xG2.93
TransTammeka
5Corners10
TransTammeka
72Dangerous attacks92
TransTammeka
20Fouls8
TransTammeka
2Cards1
TransTammeka

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2
TransTammeka
1.5Goals conceded / match1.75
TransTammeka
45%Average possession48%
TransTammeka
5Shots on target / match5
TransTammeka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.5Shots per match10
TransTammeka
5Shots on target5
TransTammeka
6.9%Shot conversion20%
TransTammeka
45%Possession48%
TransTammeka
1.82xG for1.27
TransTammeka
1.38xG against1.78
TransTammeka

Shooting quality

Trans: AttackingTammeka: Efficient finishing
TransTammeka
Accuracy (shots on target)34%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tammeka is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.75 pts / match - Trans · 1.5 pts / match - Tammeka

Trans
LLWL
Season result split
25% W0% R75% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-3
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-3
0.75 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 75%
Tammeka
LLWW
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 75%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tammeka is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Trans · 2 goals / match - Tammeka

Trans is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Trans · 1.75 goals / match - Tammeka

Trans scoring profile: very strong

Trans scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

Tammeka scoring profile: very strong

Tammeka scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

4Goals scored (season)8
TransTammeka
6Goals conceded (season)7
TransTammeka
2.5Average goals in match3.75
TransTammeka
4Goals scored (last 5)8
TransTammeka
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
TransTammeka

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
TransTammeka
25%2 goals75%
TransTammeka
0%3 goals50%
TransTammeka
0%4 goals0%
TransTammeka

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
TransTammeka
50%2 goals50%
TransTammeka
0%3 goals25%
TransTammeka
0%4 goals0%
TransTammeka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time50%
TransTammeka
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TransTammeka
25%Scored in both halves25%
TransTammeka

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
TransTammeka
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransTammeka
75%BTTS - last 575%
TransTammeka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
TransTammeka
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
TransTammeka
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
TransTammeka

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
TransTammeka
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
TransTammeka
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
TransTammeka

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Trans - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Tammeka - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.25
TransTammeka
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1
TransTammeka
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)1
TransTammeka
1.25Average goals (1st half)2
TransTammeka
50%Clean sheet before half-time25%
TransTammeka
50%No goal before half-time50%
TransTammeka

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.75
TransTammeka
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
TransTammeka
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
TransTammeka
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.75
TransTammeka
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TransTammeka
50%No goal after half-time50%
TransTammeka

Trans - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tammeka - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
5
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Trans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.50
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.31.3
1 goal75%100%
2 goals50%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.75
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal75%75%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals50%25%
Clean sheet25%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Trans
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TransLigaTammeka
Average goals in match 2.503.15 3.75
Both teams scored 75%55% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%60% 75%
Clean sheets 0%23% 0%
Goal before half-time 75%65% 75%
Goal after half-time 100%90% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+63%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TransGoalAhmad GeroAssist: Josué Doke
  2. TransSubstitutionOn: Harvey RoweOff: Aleksander Filatov
  3. TransYellow cardDenis Polyakov
  4. TransGoalAhmad GeroAssist: Josué Doke
  5. TransYellow cardAhmad Gero
  6. TammekaYellow cardHerman Pedmanson
  7. TammekaSubstitutionOn: Robin Mathias MüürOff: Pavel Marin
  8. TransSubstitutionOn: Imoh Imeh JohnOff: Ahmad Gero
  9. TransSubstitutionOn: Arnas BesigirskisOff: Josué Doke

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Trans 3 - 0 - 1 Tammeka. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

JK Tammeka Tartu
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
4 : 1
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Narva Trans
4 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
1 : 2
JK Narva Trans

FAQ

What was the result of Trans vs Tammeka?

The Meistriliiga match finished Trans 3:0 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Trans and Tammeka?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Trans won 3, Tammeka won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Trans vs Tammeka?

Trans score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tammeka 2.00. The Meistriliiga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Trans's matches and 75% of Tammeka's.

What form are Trans and Tammeka in?

Over the last 5 games Trans have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Tammeka 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trans vs Tammeka?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trans vs Tammeka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.