Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 25 October 2026

TransMara Sugar vs Leopards: match statistics

Reasoning:

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TransMara Sugar vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

TransMara Sugar play Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 28 October 2026.

Current form

TransMara Sugar: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Leopards: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

TransMara Sugar scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Leopards scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 1.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: TransMara Sugar 67%, Leopards 50%. Over 2.5: TransMara Sugar 67%, Leopards 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.16. TransMara Sugar: 14.0 shots per match, Leopards: 8.0.

Match halves

TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Leopards: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

TransMara Sugar: 31-45+ (2 goals). Leopards: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TransMara SugarLeopards
1.33Goals scored / match1
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Goals conceded / match0.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
44%Average possession56%
TransMara SugarLeopards
3.33Shots on target / match2
TransMara SugarLeopards

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match8
TransMara SugarLeopards
3.33Shots on target2
TransMara SugarLeopards
9.5%Shot conversion12.5%
TransMara SugarLeopards
44%Possession56%
TransMara SugarLeopards
1.68xG for1.16
TransMara SugarLeopards
1.44xG against1.1
TransMara SugarLeopards

Shooting quality

TransMara Sugar: AttackingLeopards: Balanced
TransMara SugarLeopards
Accuracy (shots on target)24%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Leopards is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.67 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 2 pts / match - Leopards

TransMara Sugar
DWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W67% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Leopards
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1 goals / match - Leopards

Leopards is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 0.5 goals / match - Leopards

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: mixed

TransMara Sugar scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Leopards scoring profile: mixed

Leopards scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)2
TransMara SugarLeopards
3Goals conceded (season)1
TransMara SugarLeopards
2.33Average goals in match1.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
4Goals scored (last 5)2
TransMara SugarLeopards
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
TransMara SugarLeopards

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
67%2 goals50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%3 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%2 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%3 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Scored in both halves0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
67%BTTS - last 550%
TransMara SugarLeopards

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TransMara SugarLeopards

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TransMara Sugar is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 1 pts / match - Leopards

TransMara Sugar - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Leopards - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)1
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Goals scored (1st half)0
TransMara SugarLeopards
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Average goals (1st half)0
TransMara SugarLeopards
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%No goal before half-time100%
TransMara SugarLeopards

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)2
TransMara SugarLeopards
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1
TransMara SugarLeopards
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.5
TransMara SugarLeopards
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards
67%No goal after half-time50%
TransMara SugarLeopards

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Leopards - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

TransMara Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.330.33
Goals scored / match1.00.3
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.3
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Leopards - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.01.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Leopards
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Leopards

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TransMara SugarLigaLeopards
Average goals in match▲ 2.331.90▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 67%43%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%29%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 33%40%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%38%▼ 0%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%71%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): TransMara Sugar 2 - 0 - 1 Leopards. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Leopards
2 : 1
TransMara Sugar
TransMara Sugar
2 : 0
Leopards
TransMara Sugar
2 : 0
Leopards

FAQ

When do TransMara Sugar and Leopards play?

TransMara Sugar face Leopards on 28 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between TransMara Sugar and Leopards?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches TransMara Sugar won 2, Leopards won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Leopards?

TransMara Sugar score 1.33 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 67% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 50% of Leopards's.

What form are TransMara Sugar and Leopards in?

Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Leopards 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Leopards?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for TransMara Sugar vs Leopards: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.