Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 22 October 2026

TransMara Sugar vs Migori Youth FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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TransMara Sugar vs Migori Youth FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

TransMara Sugar play Migori Youth FC in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 23 October 2026.

Current form

TransMara Sugar: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Migori Youth FC: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

TransMara Sugar scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Migori Youth FC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: TransMara Sugar 100%, Migori Youth FC 100%. Over 2.5: TransMara Sugar 100%, Migori Youth FC 0%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Migori Youth FC has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.38. TransMara Sugar: 10.0 shots per match, Migori Youth FC: 19.0.

Match halves

TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50. Migori Youth FC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

TransMara Sugar: 31-45+ (2 goals). Migori Youth FC: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
2Goals scored / match1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
1.5Goals conceded / match1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
44%Average possession47%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
3.5Shots on target / match7
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match19
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
3.5Shots on target7
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
20%Shot conversion5.3%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
44%Possession47%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
1.38xG for2.01
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
1.32xG against0.76
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

Shooting quality

TransMara Sugar: Counter-attackingMigori Youth FC: Attacking
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.570.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

TransMara Sugar is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 1 pts / match - Migori Youth FC

TransMara Sugar
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Migori Youth FC
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 0.76BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1 goals / match - Migori Youth FC

Migori Youth FC is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - TransMara Sugar · 1 goals / match - Migori Youth FC

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: very strong

TransMara Sugar scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Migori Youth FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Migori Youth FC scoring profile: very strong

Migori Youth FC scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

4Goals scored (season)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
3Goals conceded (season)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
3.5Average goals in match2
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
4Goals scored (last 5)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
100%2 goals0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%3 goals0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
50%2 goals0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%3 goals0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%4 goals0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
50%Scored in both halves0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
100%BTTS - last 5100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TransMara Sugar is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

3 pts / match - TransMara Sugar · 1 pts / match - Migori Youth FC

TransMara Sugar - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
Migori Youth FC - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per match (1st half)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
1.5Goals scored (1st half)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0Goals conceded (1st half)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
1.5Average goals (1st half)2
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%No goal before half-time0%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)1
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
2Average goals (2nd half)0
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
0%Clean sheet after half-time100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC
50%No goal after half-time100%
TransMara SugarMigori Youth FC

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.5

Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Migori Youth FC - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

TransMara Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.00
Goals scored / match1.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.01.5
Average goals in match1.52.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Migori Youth FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match2.00.0
1 goal100%0%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal0%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 100% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Migori Youth FC
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Migori Youth FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 100% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

TransMara SugarLigaMigori Youth FC
Average goals in match▲ 3.502.24▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 100%53%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%35%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%32%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%47%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%76%▼ 0%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do TransMara Sugar and Migori Youth FC play?

TransMara Sugar face Migori Youth FC on 23 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before TransMara Sugar vs Migori Youth FC?

TransMara Sugar score 2.00 goals per game on average and Migori Youth FC 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 100% of TransMara Sugar's matches and 100% of Migori Youth FC's.

What form are TransMara Sugar and Migori Youth FC in?

Over the last 5 games TransMara Sugar have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Migori Youth FC 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TransMara Sugar vs Migori Youth FC?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.