Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 03 November 2026

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Trefelin play Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 6 November 2026.

Current form

Trefelin: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Trefelin scores 0.53 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.73 and concedes 1.13. League average: 3.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Trefelin 40%, Colwyn Bay 33%. Over 2.5: Trefelin 53%, Colwyn Bay 47%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.48 vs 0.98. Trefelin: 7.5 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 12.8.

Match halves

Trefelin: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.33. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Trefelin: 76-90+ (3 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.53Goals scored / match1.73
TrefelinColwyn Bay
2.4Goals conceded / match1.13
TrefelinColwyn Bay
45%Average possession50%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
2.47Shots on target / match4.33
TrefelinColwyn Bay

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.53Shots per match12.8
TrefelinColwyn Bay
2.47Shots on target4.33
TrefelinColwyn Bay
7.1%Shot conversion13.5%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
45%Possession50%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
0.98xG for1.48
TrefelinColwyn Bay
2.01xG against1.04
TrefelinColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

Trefelin: BalancedColwyn Bay: Efficient finishing
TrefelinColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Colwyn Bay is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Trefelin · 2 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

Trefelin
LLWLL
Season result split
7% W20% D73% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-11
0.40 pts / match · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-6
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 2.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Colwyn Bay
WLWDW
Season result split
60% W13% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-4
1.93 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colwyn Bay is 226% better for: goals scored per match.

0.53 goals / match - Trefelin · 1.73 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay is 112% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.4 goals / match - Trefelin · 1.13 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

Trefelin scoring profile: more difficult

Trefelin scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Trefelin keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).

8Goals scored (season)26
TrefelinColwyn Bay
36Goals conceded (season)17
TrefelinColwyn Bay
2.93Average goals in match2.87
TrefelinColwyn Bay
4Goals scored (last 5)6
TrefelinColwyn Bay
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
TrefelinColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal80%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
7%2 goals53%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
7%3 goals13%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
0%4 goals13%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal53%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
67%2 goals33%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
40%3 goals13%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
20%4 goals7%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time7%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
7%Scored in both halves20%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
40%BTTS - last 520%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time93%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 213% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.47 pts / match - Trefelin · 1.47 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

Trefelin - half-time state
7% leading27% draw67% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
47% leading7% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.47Points per match (1st half)1.47
TrefelinColwyn Bay
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.93
TrefelinColwyn Bay
1.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
TrefelinColwyn Bay
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.6
TrefelinColwyn Bay
33%Clean sheet before half-time53%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
87%No goal before half-time47%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.8Points per match (2nd half)1.6
TrefelinColwyn Bay
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
TrefelinColwyn Bay
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
TrefelinColwyn Bay
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.27
TrefelinColwyn Bay
40%Clean sheet after half-time73%
TrefelinColwyn Bay
67%No goal after half-time53%
TrefelinColwyn Bay

Trefelin - second-half results

13% W40% D47% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 7%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
22
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Trefelin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Colwyn Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Trefelin
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
1
5
16-30
1
8
31-45
0
6
46-60
2
6
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Trefelin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
29%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
162%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

TrefelinLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals in match▼ 2.933.33▼ 2.87
Both teams scored▼ 40%50%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 53%61%▼ 47%
Clean sheets▼ 0%26%▲ 47%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%80%▲ 93%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%84%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.48
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Trefelin 0 - 0 - 1 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Trefelin and Colwyn Bay play?

Trefelin face Colwyn Bay on 6 November 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Trefelin score 0.53 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.73. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Trefelin's matches and 33% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are Trefelin and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Trefelin have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.