Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 07 September 2026

Trefelin vs Penybont: match statistics

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Trefelin vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Trefelin play Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 11 September 2026.

Current form

Trefelin: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Penybont: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Trefelin scores 0.43 and concedes 2.57 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.57 and concedes 0.71. League average: 3.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Trefelin 43%, Penybont 57%. Over 2.5: Trefelin 43%, Penybont 57%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Penybont has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.06. Trefelin: 8.4 shots per match, Penybont: 9.1.

Match halves

Trefelin: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Penybont: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Trefelin: 76-90+ (2 goals). Penybont: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.43Goals scored / match1.57
TrefelinPenybont
2.57Goals conceded / match0.71
TrefelinPenybont
51%Average possession56%
TrefelinPenybont
2.86Shots on target / match4.14
TrefelinPenybont

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.43Shots per match9.14
TrefelinPenybont
2.86Shots on target4.14
TrefelinPenybont
5.1%Shot conversion17.2%
TrefelinPenybont
51%Possession56%
TrefelinPenybont
1.06xG for1.24
TrefelinPenybont
1.65xG against1.21
TrefelinPenybont

Shooting quality

Trefelin: BalancedPenybont: Efficient finishing
TrefelinPenybont
Accuracy (shots on target)34%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.150.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Penybont is 450% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Trefelin · 2.2 pts / match - Penybont

Trefelin
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W29% R71% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-5
0.29 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 at home
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Penybont
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W43% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-0
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Penybont is 265% better for: goals scored per match.

0.43 goals / match - Trefelin · 1.57 goals / match - Penybont

Penybont is 262% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.57 goals / match - Trefelin · 0.71 goals / match - Penybont

Trefelin scoring profile: mixed

Trefelin scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Penybont scoring profile: very strong

Penybont scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Trefelin keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

3Goals scored (season)11
TrefelinPenybont
18Goals conceded (season)5
TrefelinPenybont
3Average goals in match2.29
TrefelinPenybont
3Goals scored (last 5)9
TrefelinPenybont
12Goals conceded (last 5)4
TrefelinPenybont

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal86%
TrefelinPenybont
0%2 goals57%
TrefelinPenybont
0%3 goals14%
TrefelinPenybont
0%4 goals0%
TrefelinPenybont

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal57%
TrefelinPenybont
71%2 goals14%
TrefelinPenybont
29%3 goals0%
TrefelinPenybont
29%4 goals0%
TrefelinPenybont

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
TrefelinPenybont
0%BTTS in both halves14%
TrefelinPenybont
0%Scored in both halves43%
TrefelinPenybont

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
TrefelinPenybont
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
TrefelinPenybont
60%BTTS - last 560%
TrefelinPenybont

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
TrefelinPenybont
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
TrefelinPenybont
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
TrefelinPenybont

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
TrefelinPenybont
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
TrefelinPenybont
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
TrefelinPenybont

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Penybont is 738% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.29 pts / match - Trefelin · 2.43 pts / match - Penybont

Trefelin - half-time state
0% leading29% draw71% trailing
Penybont - half-time state
71% leading29% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.29Points per match (1st half)2.43
TrefelinPenybont
0Goals scored (1st half)1.14
TrefelinPenybont
1.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
TrefelinPenybont
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.43
TrefelinPenybont
29%Clean sheet before half-time71%
TrefelinPenybont
100%No goal before half-time14%
TrefelinPenybont

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.14
TrefelinPenybont
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
TrefelinPenybont
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
TrefelinPenybont
1.43Average goals (2nd half)0.86
TrefelinPenybont
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
TrefelinPenybont
57%No goal after half-time57%
TrefelinPenybont

Trefelin - second-half results

14% W57% R29% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.29
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Penybont - second-half results

14% W71% R14% P
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Trefelin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Penybont - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.20
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Trefelin
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
6
31-45
0
4
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Penybont
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Trefelin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
25%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
177%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

Penybont

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

TrefelinLigaPenybont
Average goals in match 3.003.14 2.29
Both teams scored 43%48% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%57% 57%
Clean sheets 0%27% 43%
Goal before half-time 71%79% 86%
Goal after half-time 57%84% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Trefelin and Penybont play?

Trefelin face Penybont on 11 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Trefelin vs Penybont?

Trefelin score 0.43 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Trefelin's matches and 57% of Penybont's.

What form are Trefelin and Penybont in?

Over the last 5 games Trefelin have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Penybont 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trefelin vs Penybont?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trefelin vs Penybont: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.