Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 24 September 2026

Trefelin vs The New Saints: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Trefelin vs The New Saints: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Trefelin play The New Saints in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Trefelin: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. The New Saints: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Trefelin scores 0.40 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. The New Saints scores 2.60 and concedes 0.40. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Trefelin 40%, The New Saints 30%. Over 2.5: Trefelin 40%, The New Saints 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

The New Saints has higher xG: 2.37 vs 0.94. Trefelin: 7.4 shots per match, The New Saints: 20.0.

Match halves

Trefelin: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40. The New Saints: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.40.

Goals by minute

Trefelin: 61-75 (2 goals). The New Saints: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TrefelinThe New Saints
0.4Goals scored / match2.6
TrefelinThe New Saints
2.4Goals conceded / match0.4
TrefelinThe New Saints
47%Average possession68%
TrefelinThe New Saints
2.2Shots on target / match9.2
TrefelinThe New Saints

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.4Shots per match20
TrefelinThe New Saints
2.2Shots on target9.2
TrefelinThe New Saints
5.4%Shot conversion13%
TrefelinThe New Saints
47%Possession68%
TrefelinThe New Saints
0.94xG for2.37
TrefelinThe New Saints
1.84xG against0.69
TrefelinThe New Saints

Shooting quality

Trefelin: BalancedThe New Saints: Dominant
TrefelinThe New Saints
Accuracy (shots on target)30%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.180.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

The New Saints is 650% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Trefelin · 3 pts / match - The New Saints

Trefelin
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W30% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-7
0.30 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
The New Saints
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
90% W10% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-0
2.80 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
DWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.22Opponent xG: 0.65BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

The New Saints is 550% better for: goals scored per match.

0.4 goals / match - Trefelin · 2.6 goals / match - The New Saints

The New Saints is 500% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.4 goals / match - Trefelin · 0.4 goals / match - The New Saints

Trefelin scoring profile: more difficult

Trefelin scores in 40% of matches (4 of 10 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 70% (7 of 10 matches).

The New Saints scoring profile: very strong

The New Saints scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Trefelin keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

4Goals scored (season)26
TrefelinThe New Saints
24Goals conceded (season)4
TrefelinThe New Saints
2.8Average goals in match3
TrefelinThe New Saints
3Goals scored (last 5)13
TrefelinThe New Saints
9Goals conceded (last 5)3
TrefelinThe New Saints

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal90%
TrefelinThe New Saints
0%2 goals70%
TrefelinThe New Saints
0%3 goals40%
TrefelinThe New Saints
0%4 goals30%
TrefelinThe New Saints

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal30%
TrefelinThe New Saints
60%2 goals10%
TrefelinThe New Saints
30%3 goals0%
TrefelinThe New Saints
30%4 goals0%
TrefelinThe New Saints

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time10%
TrefelinThe New Saints
0%BTTS in both halves10%
TrefelinThe New Saints
0%Scored in both halves50%
TrefelinThe New Saints

BTTS and goal count

10%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
TrefelinThe New Saints
30%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
TrefelinThe New Saints
60%BTTS - last 540%
TrefelinThe New Saints

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
TrefelinThe New Saints
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
TrefelinThe New Saints
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
TrefelinThe New Saints

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
TrefelinThe New Saints
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
TrefelinThe New Saints
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
TrefelinThe New Saints

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

The New Saints is 600% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.3 pts / match - Trefelin · 2.1 pts / match - The New Saints

Trefelin - half-time state
0% leading30% draw70% trailing
The New Saints - half-time state
60% leading30% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.3Points per match (1st half)2.1
TrefelinThe New Saints
0Goals scored (1st half)1.2
TrefelinThe New Saints
1.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
TrefelinThe New Saints
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.4
TrefelinThe New Saints
30%Clean sheet before half-time80%
TrefelinThe New Saints
100%No goal before half-time40%
TrefelinThe New Saints

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.4
TrefelinThe New Saints
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)1.4
TrefelinThe New Saints
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
TrefelinThe New Saints
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.6
TrefelinThe New Saints
50%Clean sheet after half-time80%
TrefelinThe New Saints
60%No goal after half-time20%
TrefelinThe New Saints

Trefelin - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.30
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

The New Saints - second-half results

70% W30% D0% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 90%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Trefelin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
The New Saints - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+5+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Trefelin
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
7
31-45
0
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

The New Saints
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
7
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.4 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Trefelin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
22%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
159%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

The New Saints

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
22%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

TrefelinLigaThe New Saints
Average goals in match 2.803.34 3.00
Both teams scored 40%52% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%61% 50%
Clean sheets 0%25% 70%
Goal before half-time 70%80% 70%
Goal after half-time 70%85% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Trefelin and The New Saints play?

Trefelin face The New Saints on 26 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Trefelin vs The New Saints?

Trefelin score 0.40 goals per game on average and The New Saints 2.60. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Trefelin's matches and 30% of The New Saints's.

What form are Trefelin and The New Saints in?

Over the last 5 games Trefelin have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and The New Saints 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trefelin vs The New Saints?

The statistical background for Trefelin vs The New Saints — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.