Trenčín vs Skalica: match statistics
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two bottom-half teams that share identical form issues. Trenčín shows very poor efficiency at home (only an 18% home win rate), but Skalica fares even worse on the road with merely a 9% win rate and a disastrous 82% loss rate. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and better expected goals stats (xG 1.50 vs 1.38), suggesting a slightly higher quality of play from Trenčín. However, both teams have identical form over their last five matches (1.2 points per game each) and a similar goal difference (-11). Considering that Skalica hasn't kept a single away clean sheet, while Trenčín scores very few goals at home (0.64 on average), a draw or a narrow home win seems the most probable, with a slight edge to the draw scenario due to the high FTS% metrics of both teams.
Trenčín vs Skalica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trenčín played Skalica in Super Liga (Slovakia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Trenčín: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Skalica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trenčín scores 0.78 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Skalica scores 0.91 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trenčín 35%, Skalica 48%. Over 2.5: Trenčín 48%, Skalica 39%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Trenčín has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.28. Trenčín: 12.2 shots per match, Skalica: 11.4.
Match halves
Trenčín: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.43. Skalica: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Trenčín: 76-90+ (5 goals). Skalica: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super Liga: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two bottom-half teams that share identical form issues. Trenčín shows very poor efficiency at home (only an 18% home win rate), but Skalica fares even worse on the road with merely a 9% win rate and a disastrous 82% loss rate. A key factor is the hosts' advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and better expected goals stats (xG 1.50 vs 1.38), suggesting a slightly higher quality of play from Trenčín. However, both teams have identical form over their last five matches (1.2 points per game each) and a similar goal difference (-11). Considering that Skalica hasn't kept a single away clean sheet, while Trenčín scores very few goals at home (0.64 on average), a draw or a narrow home win seems the most probable, with a slight edge to the draw scenario due to the high FTS% metrics of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trenčín | Skalica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Skalica is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Trenčín · 0.91 goals / match - Skalica
Skalica is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Trenčín · 1.52 goals / match - Skalica
Trenčín scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Skalica keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Skalica scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Trenčín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trenčín
Over / Under - Skalica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trenčín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Skalica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trenčín
Skalica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super Liga).
Teams vs league
| Trenčín | Liga | Skalica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Trenčín 1 - 1 - 0 Skalica. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Trenčín vs Skalica?
The Super Liga match finished Trenčín 2:1 Skalica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Trenčín and Skalica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Trenčín won 1, Skalica won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Trenčín vs Skalica?
Trenčín score 0.78 goals per game on average and Skalica 0.91. The Super Liga average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Trenčín's matches and 48% of Skalica's.
What form are Trenčín and Skalica in?
Over the last 5 games Trenčín have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Skalica 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trenčín vs Skalica?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trenčín vs Skalica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.