Trento vs Folgore Caratese: match statistics
Trento vs Folgore Caratese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trento played Folgore Caratese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Briamasco. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Trento: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Folgore Caratese: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trento scores 1.38 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Folgore Caratese scores 1.13 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trento 38%, Folgore Caratese 75%. Over 2.5: Trento 50%, Folgore Caratese 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Trento has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.63. Trento: 17.8 shots per match, Folgore Caratese: 12.5.
Match halves
Trento: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Folgore Caratese: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Trento: 31-45+ (3 goals). Folgore Caratese: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Trento are the favourites: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Folgore Caratese have won just once in 4 away games. Trento average 1.75 goals and 6.5 shots on target per match at home, compared with 1 goal and 3.5 shots on target per match for the visitors away from home. Trento’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their xG of 2.03, compared with their opponents’ 1.53. The hosts concede an average of just 0.25 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 75% of those matches, while the visitors have failed to score in half of their away games. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Trento have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, but their attacking and defensive advantage points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by the fact that both teams scored in 100% of Trento’s matches and 50% of Folgore Caratese’s. The hosts average 1.25 goals at home and have not failed to score there, although the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their away matches. Folgore average 1.0 goals away, while Trento concede 2.0 at home, increasing the likelihood of an away goal. However, caution is warranted: Folgore failed to score in 50% of their away matches, and Trento have conceded just 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches. Despite this risk, both teams scored in 80% of Folgore’s last five matches, so BTTS - Yes has a slight edge. BTTS - No would mean at least one team fails to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals: the 1.5 line was exceeded in 100% of Trento’s matches and 50% of Folgore Caratese’s. Trento average 1.72 xG, while Folgore Caratese average 1.53 xG, indicating goal-scoring potential on both sides; the hosts also average 5.5 shots on target compared with 3.5 for the visitors. In their last five matches, Trento scored an average of 1.6 goals, while Folgore Caratese conceded 1.4, so I attribute the larger share of the projected 2.8 goals to the hosts. Higher lines have weaker support: the 2.5-goal threshold was exceeded in 75% of Trento’s matches and 50% of the visitors’ matches, while the 3.5-goal threshold was reached in only 25% of each team’s matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than a bet requiring at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is likely: Trento went into the break level in 3 of its last 5 matches, while Folgore Caratese did so in 2 of 5. Both teams also often draw after 90 minutes — the hosts in 4 of their last 5 matches and the visitors in 2 of 5. Trento have the attacking edge, averaging 1.6 goals scored recently compared with the visitors’ 1.2, so X/1 remains a close alternative to the main pick. However, the low number of goals scored after half-time in the last five matches supports the draw holding: Trento averaged 0.6 and Folgore Caratese 0.4. Given these half-time results and frequent full-time draws, I’m backing X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trento | Folgore Caratese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Trento is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Trento · 1 pts / match - Folgore Caratese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Trento is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Trento · 1.13 goals / match - Folgore Caratese
Trento is 138% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - Trento · 1.5 goals / match - Folgore Caratese
Trento scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Folgore Caratese keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Folgore Caratese scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Trento keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trento
Over / Under - Folgore Caratese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Folgore Caratese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trento
Folgore Caratese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Trento | Liga | Folgore Caratese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 32% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
The Serie C Group A match finished Trento 1:0 Folgore Caratese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
Trento score 1.38 goals per game on average and Folgore Caratese 1.13. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Trento's matches and 75% of Folgore Caratese's.
What form are Trento and Folgore Caratese in?
Over the last 5 games Trento have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Folgore Caratese 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
The statistical background for Trento vs Folgore Caratese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.