Trento vs Lecco: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very closely contested matchup between both teams. Trento displays solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.33 goals per match. Lecco, on the other hand, is more effective away with 45% wins and an impressive goal record (30 goals scored, 15 conceded over the entire season). A key factor is the high percentage of draws for Trento at home (42%) and Lecco away (36%), suggesting frequent inconclusive results. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (+5) as well as the same points average in their last five games (2.0 PPG). Considering Trento's possession advantage (60% vs 52%) and the slightly better xG of the hosts (1.72 vs 1.16), but simultaneously Lecco's higher conversion rate (13% vs 9%), I expect a hard-fought, tactical match ending in a share of the points.
Trento vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Trento played Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Trento: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lecco: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Trento scores 1.35 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Lecco scores 1.30 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Trento 61%, Lecco 35%. Over 2.5: Trento 39%, Lecco 26%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Trento has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.31. Trento: 13.6 shots per match, Lecco: 10.2.
Match halves
Trento: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78. Lecco: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Trento: 61-75 (7 goals). Lecco: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very closely contested matchup between both teams. Trento displays solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.33 goals per match. Lecco, on the other hand, is more effective away with 45% wins and an impressive goal record (30 goals scored, 15 conceded over the entire season). A key factor is the high percentage of draws for Trento at home (42%) and Lecco away (36%), suggesting frequent inconclusive results. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (+5) as well as the same points average in their last five games (2.0 PPG). Considering Trento's possession advantage (60% vs 52%) and the slightly better xG of the hosts (1.72 vs 1.16), but simultaneously Lecco's higher conversion rate (13% vs 9%), I expect a hard-fought, tactical match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Trento | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Trento · 0.65 goals / match - Lecco
Trento scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
Lecco scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Trento keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Trento
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Trento · 1.91 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Trento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Trento
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Trento | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 50% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Trento 0 - 0 - 1 Lecco. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Trento vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Trento 1:1 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Trento vs Lecco?
Trento score 1.35 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.30. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Trento's matches and 35% of Lecco's.
What form are Trento and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Trento have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lecco 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Trento vs Lecco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Trento vs Lecco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.