Triestina vs Pro Vercelli: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very tightly contested match between two teams in poor form. Triestina presents a better home record (40% win rate in home matches), but their recent form is disastrous - zero wins in the last 5 games and a mere 0.2 points per game. Pro Vercelli has an even worse away record (only 27% wins, 60% losses), yet a slightly better recent form (0.6 PPG). The key factor is the identical average ball possession (52%) and similar xG values for both teams, suggesting tactical balance. Considering the poor disposition of both sides and the fact that Triestina rarely loses at home (33% defeat rate), a draw seems the most probable scenario, although a slight home advantage gives the hosts a marginally higher chance of winning.
Triestina vs Pro Vercelli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Triestina played Pro Vercelli in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Triestina: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Pro Vercelli: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Triestina scores 1.03 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Pro Vercelli scores 1.03 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Triestina 52%, Pro Vercelli 42%. Over 2.5: Triestina 45%, Pro Vercelli 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Triestina has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.43. Triestina: 11.3 shots per match, Pro Vercelli: 11.6.
Match halves
Triestina: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.77. Pro Vercelli: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Triestina: 61-75 (12 goals). Pro Vercelli: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very tightly contested match between two teams in poor form. Triestina presents a better home record (40% win rate in home matches), but their recent form is disastrous - zero wins in the last 5 games and a mere 0.2 points per game. Pro Vercelli has an even worse away record (only 27% wins, 60% losses), yet a slightly better recent form (0.6 PPG). The key factor is the identical average ball possession (52%) and similar xG values for both teams, suggesting tactical balance. Considering the poor disposition of both sides and the fact that Triestina rarely loses at home (33% defeat rate), a draw seems the most probable scenario, although a slight home advantage gives the hosts a marginally higher chance of winning.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Triestina | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pro Vercelli is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Triestina · 0.6 pts / match - Pro Vercelli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Triestina scores in 55% of matches (17 of 31 matches), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
Pro Vercelli scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Triestina keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Triestina
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pro Vercelli is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Triestina · 1.19 pts / match - Pro Vercelli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Triestina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Triestina
Pro Vercelli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Triestina | Liga | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.45 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Triestina 0 - 0 - 1 Pro Vercelli. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?
The Serie C Group A match finished Triestina 2:3 Pro Vercelli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?
Triestina score 1.03 goals per game on average and Pro Vercelli 1.03. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Triestina's matches and 42% of Pro Vercelli's.
What form are Triestina and Pro Vercelli in?
Over the last 5 games Triestina have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Pro Vercelli 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.