Triestina vs Virtus Verona: match statistics
Triestina exhibits stronger home form with a 38% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+6), compared to Virtus Verona, who have only a 19% win rate away and a negative goal difference (-8). The hosts score an average of 1.81 goals per match at home, while the visitors net only 1.13 goals on the road. Triestina boasts a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%) and an advantage in xG (1.61 vs 1.34), suggesting better quality of chances created. Virtus Verona has not won any of their last 5 matches, and their away form (56% defeats) points to difficulties playing away from home. Although both teams have defensive issues, Triestina's statistical edge at home gives them a real chance of victory, though a draw remains likely due to the visitors' tendency to draw (25% away).
Triestina vs Virtus Verona: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Triestina played Virtus Verona in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Triestina: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Virtus Verona: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Triestina scores 1.09 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Virtus Verona scores 0.91 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Triestina 55%, Virtus Verona 58%. Over 2.5: Triestina 48%, Virtus Verona 42%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Triestina has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.40. Triestina: 11.2 shots per match, Virtus Verona: 11.4.
Match halves
Triestina: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.82. Virtus Verona: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Triestina: 61-75 (13 goals). Virtus Verona: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Triestina exhibits stronger home form with a 38% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+6), compared to Virtus Verona, who have only a 19% win rate away and a negative goal difference (-8). The hosts score an average of 1.81 goals per match at home, while the visitors net only 1.13 goals on the road. Triestina boasts a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%) and an advantage in xG (1.61 vs 1.34), suggesting better quality of chances created. Virtus Verona has not won any of their last 5 matches, and their away form (56% defeats) points to difficulties playing away from home. Although both teams have defensive issues, Triestina's statistical edge at home gives them a real chance of victory, though a draw remains likely due to the visitors' tendency to draw (25% away).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have very low clean sheet rates (Triestina 12%, Virtus Verona 13%) and high average goals conceded per season (1.41 and 1.63 respectively), which favors a scenario with goals from both sides. Their BTTS percentages are above the league average (Triestina 53%, Virtus 63% vs 49% in the league), and in the last 5 matches, both sides have recorded a BTTS rate of 60%. Their defensive form over the last 5 games is poor (both conceding an average of 2.0 goals; 10 goals conceded in 5 matches), further boosting the chances of the opponent scoring. In terms of chance creation, the xG figures are solid (Triestina xG 1.45, Virtus 1.34), while xGA is high (1.63 and 1.73), indicating open games. The only significant risk factor for BTTS is Triestina's high FTS rate (47%) and low seasonal scoring of 0.71, yet their recent 5-game average of 1.2 goals suggests improvement. Overall, the data more frequently indicates that both sides will find a way to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal-scoring model is primarily based on the quality of chances (xG) and defensive weaknesses: Triestina has a high xG for (1.45) with low efficiency and actual goals (0.71), while Virtus Verona has a solid xG for (1.34) and poor defensive metrics (1.63 conceded; xG against 1.73). Both teams rarely keep a clean sheet (12% and 13%), which increases the chances of at least 2 goals, but at the same time, their seasonal over profiles are moderate (Over 2.5: 35% vs 50%; Over 3.5: 24% vs 44%). The last 5 matches have raised the tempo (both sides: 60% Over 2.5, 2.0 goals conceded per match), however, this is not stable enough to favor high lines. With an expected 2.60 goals, the most probable score range is 2–3 goals, which gives an edge to Under 3.5. Additionally, Triestina's high rate of matches without a goal (FTS 47%) limits the risk of an 'explosion' towards 4+ goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a Virtus Verona win by full-time, as both teams rarely build a lead in the first half (HT lead: Triestina 18%, Virtus 13%), and the percentage of draws at the break is moderately high (35% and 31%). Triestina has a very weak results profile this season (0% wins, 0.53 PPG) and low shooting efficiency (6% conversion rate), which limits their chances of securing a favorable result. Virtus has better goal production (1.13 goals per match vs 0.71) and a significantly stronger second half (second-half PPG 1.56; second-half wins 38%) along with solid defense after the break (0.50 goals conceded in the second half, CS 56%). High FTS rates in the first half (Triestina 65%, Virtus 69%) and low BTTS HT percentages (18% and 25%) favor a scenario of a cautious start and a resolution after the break. Additionally, the xG of both sides is similar, but Triestina regularly fails to deliver results, so the quality and dynamism advantage in the latter stages tilts the match in favor of the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Triestina | Virtus Verona | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Triestina is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Triestina · 0.91 goals / match - Virtus Verona
Triestina scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Virtus Verona keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
Virtus Verona scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Triestina keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Triestina
Over / Under - Virtus Verona
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Triestina is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Triestina · 0.79 pts / match - Virtus Verona
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Triestina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Virtus Verona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Triestina
Virtus Verona
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Triestina | Liga | Virtus Verona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.29 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 41% | • 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 30% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Triestina 0 - 1 - 0 Virtus Verona. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
The Serie C Group A match finished Triestina 5:0 Virtus Verona. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
Triestina score 1.09 goals per game on average and Virtus Verona 0.91. The Serie C Group A average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Triestina's matches and 58% of Virtus Verona's.
What form are Triestina and Virtus Verona in?
Over the last 5 games Triestina have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Virtus Verona 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Triestina vs Virtus Verona?
The statistical background for Triestina vs Virtus Verona — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.