Triglav vs Bistrica: match statistics
Triglav vs Bistrica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Triglav played Bistrica in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Triglav: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Bistrica: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Triglav scores 2.54 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Bistrica scores 1.61 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Triglav 36%, Bistrica 43%. Over 2.5: Triglav 57%, Bistrica 64%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Triglav has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.39. Triglav: 14.3 shots per match, Bistrica: 9.9.
Match halves
Triglav: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.39. Bistrica: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Triglav: 76-90+ (16 goals). Bistrica: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Triglav has a clear statistical advantage: at home they average 2.93 goals per game and register a 64% home win rate, while Bistrica scores only 1.14 goals away and wins 21% of their away matches. In the last five fixtures Triglav are 5/5, scoring 11 goals and conceding none (GA last 5 = 0), whereas Bistrica have 1 win and 4 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11. In terms of chance quality the hosts average 15.36 shots and 6.5 on target per game with xG 2.05 and a conversion rate of 19%, while the visitors average 8.71 shots, 3.71 on target, xG 1.32 and a 13% conversion — indicating a decisive Triglav advantage in chance creation. The home defence also looks superior: Triglav concede 0.79 goals per game at home and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas Bistrica concede 1.36 goals away and have only 29% clean sheets, additionally failing to score in 43% of their away matches. Based on these numbers I back the home win; suggested probabilities are 75% for Triglav, 15% for a draw and 10% for a Bistrica win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project 'No' (No Goal) as more likely: Triglav have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 matches (0 goals conceded), concede 1.21 goals per match this season and have 36% clean sheets, which reduces the chance of BTTS - Yes. Bistrica fail to score in 43% of their matches this season; in their last 5 they scored 5 goals (1.0 per match) and conceded 11 (2.2 per match), indicating offensive problems. Season BTTS rate is 43% for each team versus a league BTTS level of 49%, but recent runs show 0% BTTS for the home side vs 40% for the away side, lowering the probability of both teams scoring. Additionally, Triglav have higher xG (1.48 vs 1.32), more shots on target (4.71 vs 3.71) and a better conversion rate (19% vs 13%), so the hosts create more and convert better—therefore 70% for No BTTS and 30% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and seasonal statistics: Triglava’s xG is 1.48, while Bistrica’s xG conceded is 1.44, yielding expected goals for Triglava of 1.46. For Bistrica, xG is 1.32 and xG conceded by Triglava is 1.49, giving expected away goals of 1.41, a total of 2.87 goals. Triglava scores on average 2.07 goals at home, while Bistrica concedes 1.36 on the road; additionally Triglava has 93% of matches over 1.5 and Bistrica 79%, so Over 1.5 is highly likely. Both teams have a seasonal Over 2.5 rate of 64% (Triglav 64%, Bistrica 64%), and in Bistrica’s last 5 away games Over 2.5 is 100%, hence a moderately high probability for Over 2.5. Seasonal Over 3.5 rates are 36% for Triglava and 21% for Bistrica, and the projected total xG of 2.87 is below 3.5, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Triglav is the clear favorite: the home side averages 2.07 goals per match versus Bistrica’s 1.14 and win 57% of home games, while the visitors win only 21% of matches. Triglav led at the break in 6 matches (43%) this season, and in their last 5 fixtures Triglav won all 5 and led at the break in 3 of them (60%), indicating strong first-half form. At half-time Triglav score on average 0.86 goals versus Bistrica’s 0.79, and after the break the hosts average 1.21 goals compared to 0.36 for the visitors, suggesting they maintain or extend their lead in the second half. Shooting stats corroborate the advantage: Triglav averages 11 shots with 4.71 on target and a 19% conversion rate, while Bistrica average 8.71 shots, 3.71 on target and a 13% conversion; xG is 1.48 versus 1.32 in favor of the hosts. Considering leading at the break in 43% of matches, 57% home win rate and second-half dominance (1.21 vs 0.36 goals after the break), the most likely scenario is 1/1 (hosts lead at the break and win at full-time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Triglav | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Triglav is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Triglav · 0.6 pts / match - Bistrica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Triglav is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
2.54 goals / match - Triglav · 1.61 goals / match - Bistrica
Triglav is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Triglav · 1.29 goals / match - Bistrica
Triglav scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Bistrica keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Bistrica scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Triglav keeps a clean sheet in 54% (15 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Triglav
Over / Under - Bistrica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Triglav is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Triglav · 1.39 pts / match - Bistrica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Triglav - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bistrica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Triglav
Bistrica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Triglav | Liga | Bistrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 2.81 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BistricaGoalLluc Carrera Sánchez
- BistricaGoalDomagoj Vidović
- BistricaGoalMaro Vrdoljak
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Triglav 0 - 0 - 1 Bistrica. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Triglav vs Bistrica?
The 2. SNL match finished Triglav 0:4 Bistrica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Triglav vs Bistrica?
Triglav score 2.54 goals per game on average and Bistrica 1.61. The 2. SNL average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Triglav's matches and 43% of Bistrica's.
What form are Triglav and Bistrica in?
Over the last 5 games Triglav have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Bistrica 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Triglav vs Bistrica?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Triglav vs Bistrica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.