Triglav vs Dravinja: match statistics
Triglav vs Dravinja: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Triglav played Dravinja in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Triglav: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Dravinja: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Triglav scores 2.64 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dravinja scores 0.95 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Triglav 41%, Dravinja 45%. Over 2.5: Triglav 59%, Dravinja 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Triglav has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.35. Triglav: 15.3 shots per match, Dravinja: 9.6.
Match halves
Triglav: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.36. Dravinja: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Triglav: 16-30 (13 goals). Dravinja: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Triglav clearly dominates the league and at home: they are 4th with a 14-3-5 record this season and 58 goals scored; Dravinja have 21 goals and sit 13th (5-5-12). The hosts’ form is markedly superior — Triglav scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and are averaging 2.6 points per game over that span, while Dravinja have 4 goals and average 1.0 points (1-2-2). At home Triglav averages 16.18 shots per match, 6.55 on target, 56% possession and a 19% conversion rate; Dravinja away average 10.36 shots, 3.73 on target, 41% possession and 10% conversion. Defensively the hosts are better as well — Triglav concede 0.91 goals per home game and keep clean sheets in 36% of matches, whereas Dravinja concede 1.82 goals away and have only 9% clean sheets; the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away matches, while Triglav are shut out in 18% of home games. Considering the xG advantage (2.14 for the hosts vs 1.37 for the visitors), superior efficiency and form, I predict a Triglav win; probabilities estimated at 75% home, 15% draw and 10% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season BTTS rate stands at 45% for both teams (Triglav 45%, Dravinja 45%), below the league average of 49%, which is a mildly negative signal for BTTS - Yes. In the last 5 matches the home side scored 11 and conceded 2 (avg 2.2 scored, 0.4 conceded), while Dravinja has scored 4 and conceded 7 (avg 0.8 scored, 1.4 conceded), indicating a clear form advantage for Triglav. Dravinja failed to score in 45% of their matches this season and have a season goals average of just 1.00, so the visitors carry a real risk of a shutout. Season xG are similar (1.34 for Triglav vs 1.37 for Dravinja), but recent xG favors the hosts (recent xG 2.2 vs 1.14) and season average conceded xG are 1.60 vs 1.67, so the numerical balance and form lean towards No Goal/No BTTS. Consequently I project 'No' as the stronger outcome — 60% probability for No BTTS and 40% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal statistics indicate both teams frequently exceed the 1.5 goals line: Triglav has 73% of matches over 1.5 goals, and Dravinja 91%, yielding an average ~82% chance for Over 1.5. xG values are 1.34 for Triglav and 1.37 for Dravinja, with xG against of 1.60 (Triglav) and 1.67 (Dravinja), producing a theoretical combined xG of approximately 2.71 and supporting a scenario of at least two goals. Form over the last 5 matches shows Triglav scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and conceded 2, while Dravinja scored 4 goals (0.8 per match) and conceded 7, so the home side is clearly in better offensive form. Season Over 2.5 percentages are 36% for Triglav and 45% for Dravinja (average ~41%), and Over 3.5 is only 18% for both teams, therefore Over 2.5 and 3.5 look less convincing than Over 1.5. I project expected goals of 1.80 for Triglav and 1.05 for Dravinja (total 2.85) and recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal from the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Triglav is in excellent form — in the last 5 matches they have a record 'wdwww' (4 wins and 1 draw; 80% win rate) and average 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over that period. Dravinja in the last 5 matches has 'llwdd' (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses; 20% win rate) and averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In the previous 5 meetings Triglav led at the break in 60% of cases, while Dravinja led at the break in 0% — this gives a clear advantage to the home side for the first 45 minutes. Triglav also scores more after the break (1.2 goals vs 0.8 for the visitors in the last 5) and has a higher points-per-game indicator 2.6 vs 1.0 in the last 5, therefore the 1/1 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario receives the strongest signal (51%) with smaller shares for 1/X (6%) and X/1 (10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Triglav | Dravinja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Triglav is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Triglav · 1 pts / match - Dravinja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Triglav is 178% better for: goals scored per match.
2.64 goals / match - Triglav · 0.95 goals / match - Dravinja
Triglav is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Triglav · 1.68 goals / match - Dravinja
Triglav scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Dravinja keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Dravinja scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Triglav keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Triglav
Over / Under - Dravinja
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Triglav is 116% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Triglav · 0.86 pts / match - Dravinja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Triglav - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dravinja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Triglav
Dravinja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Triglav | Liga | Dravinja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.64 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- DravinjaGoalBlaž Rožmarič
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Triglav 1 - 0 - 0 Dravinja. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Triglav vs Dravinja?
The 2. SNL match finished Triglav 2:1 Dravinja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Triglav vs Dravinja?
Triglav score 2.64 goals per game on average and Dravinja 0.95. The 2. SNL average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Triglav's matches and 45% of Dravinja's.
What form are Triglav and Dravinja in?
Over the last 5 games Triglav have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Dravinja 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Triglav vs Dravinja?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.