Tristán Suárez vs Almagro: match statistics
Tristán Suárez vs Almagro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tristán Suárez played Almagro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 6 June 2026. Venue: Estadio 20 de Octubre. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Tristán Suárez: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Almagro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tristán Suárez scores 1.00 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Almagro scores 0.73 and concedes 1.20. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tristán Suárez 40%, Almagro 33%. Over 2.5: Tristán Suárez 33%, Almagro 20%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Tristán Suárez has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.07. Tristán Suárez: 9.2 shots per match, Almagro: 7.9.
Match halves
Tristán Suárez: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.40. Almagro: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Tristán Suárez: 0-15 (4 goals). Almagro: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Tristan Suárez win: hosts average 1.13 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded at home, with a home goal difference of +3. Their home xG is 1.35 versus xG against 0.96, while Almagro away posts xG for 0.87 and xG against 2.01, indicating higher quality chance creation from the hosts. Tristan averages 11.5 shots and 3.63 on target per home match, whereas Almagro away records just 6.25 shots and 2.38 on target, with an average of 0.5 goals scored away; additionally the visitors fail to score in 63% of their away matches. Hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games and suffer only 13% defeats at home, while Almagro have 63% losses on the road, a -9 goal differential and only 13% clean sheets away. Based on defensive edge, chance creation and xG superiority (1.35 vs 0.87), I assign a 65% probability to the home win, 20% to a draw and 15% to the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS with a 62% probability versus 38% for BTTS - Yes. Season metrics indicate a low share of matches with both teams scoring: Tristán Suárez have BTTS at home in only 29% of fixtures, Almagro away 38%, and the league BTTS average is 39%, yielding a season baseline around 34%. The home side keep a clean sheet in 43% of home matches and concede just 0.71 goals per game on average, while the visitors score only 0.5 goals per away match — this substantially reduces the likelihood of Goal/Goal. The last 5 matches provide counter-evidence — BTTS at 60% for both sides and recent averages of 1.4 conceded by the hosts and 1.2 scored by the guests — so I raise the Yes probability to 38%, but still view it as less likely. In summary, season-long data and a high rate of home clean sheets dominate, so I recommend backing No (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (averaging home attack with opponent defense) projects 1.64 goals for Tristán Suárez (xG attack 1.27 vs xG against Almagro 2.01) and 1.21 for Almagro (xG attack 0.87 vs xG against Tristán 1.54), totaling 2.85 goals. With λ=2.85 the Poisson distribution yields ~78% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~54% for Over 2.5 and ~32% for Over 3.5. Seasonal metrics show Over 2.5 occurred in only 14% of Tristán’s matches and 25% of Almagro’s, while league Over 2.5 is 28%, which reduces confidence for higher thresholds. Additionally, Tristán averages 9.71 shots with 10% conversion (3.29 on target), and Almagro has 6.25 shots with 8% conversion; the high xG against Almagro of 2.01 reinforces scoring probability in this fixture. As a result the strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5), while Over 2.5 is moderately favored and Over 3.5 remains unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: the home side led at the break in 14% of matches and were level at half-time in 57% of games, with Tristán Suárez keeping a clean sheet at the break in 71% of cases; average first-half goals are 0.14 (home) vs 0.25 (Almagro). After the break the hosts improve effectiveness – minutes 46–60 they scored 3 goals vs 1 for the visitors, minutes 61–75 2 vs 0, and in second halves they accumulated 13 points (1.86 per game) compared to Almagro’s 6 points (0.75). Overall metrics favor Tristán Suárez: they win 43% of matches vs 13% for the visitors, have xG 1.27 vs 0.87 and average 9.71 shots (3.29 on target) vs 6.25 (2.38) for Almagro, indicating an offensive edge that can be decisive after the break. Therefore the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tristán Suárez | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almagro is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Tristán Suárez · 1.4 pts / match - Almagro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tristán Suárez is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Tristán Suárez · 0.73 goals / match - Almagro
Tristán Suárez is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Tristán Suárez · 1.2 goals / match - Almagro
Tristán Suárez scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Almagro scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 60% (9 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tristán Suárez
Over / Under - Almagro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tristán Suárez is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Tristán Suárez · 0.87 pts / match - Almagro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tristán Suárez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Almagro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tristán Suárez
Almagro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Tristán Suárez | Liga | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 1.85 | • 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tristán Suárez 2 - 0 - 0 Almagro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tristán Suárez vs Almagro?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Tristán Suárez 0:0 Almagro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tristán Suárez and Almagro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 2, Almagro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tristán Suárez vs Almagro?
Tristán Suárez score 1.00 goals per game on average and Almagro 0.73. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Tristán Suárez's matches and 33% of Almagro's.
What form are Tristán Suárez and Almagro in?
Over the last 5 games Tristán Suárez have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Almagro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tristán Suárez vs Almagro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.