Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tristán Suárez played Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Tristán Suárez: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tristán Suárez scores 1.29 and concedes 0.29 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tristán Suárez 29%, Atlético Rafaela 43%. Over 2.5: Tristán Suárez 29%, Atlético Rafaela 29%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Tristán Suárez has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.09. Tristán Suárez: 9.6 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 9.0.
Match halves
Tristán Suárez: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Tristán Suárez: 0-15 (3 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1): Tristán Suárez is unbeaten at home — 4 wins and 3 draws (0 losses), conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average with home xG against of 0.59. In attack the hosts score 1.5 goals per home game (9 goals this season), average 11 shots and 2.75 on target per match with a 14% conversion, while Atlético Rafaela away averages 1.0 goal (6 goals), 10 shots and 3.0 on target but a lower 10% conversion. The visitors do score consistently on the road — they have no away goalless games (0% matches without a goal) — yet their defense is more exposed: away xG against is as high as 1.97 and they concede 1.0 goal per match on average. Form favors the hosts: Tristán Suárez averages 2.0 points in the last 5 matches (dwwwl), Atlético Rafaela averages 1.4 points in their last 5 (wwldl), and the hosts also have 50% clean sheets at home and a positive home goal difference of +4. Based on the hosts’ superior defense, higher home goals per game and the visitors’ high xG against on the road, I assess the probabilities as: Tristán Suárez win 60%, draw 25%, Atlético Rafaela win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The statistics send a mixed signal: Tristán Suárez has a seasonal BTTS only 25% and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of matches, while Atlético Rafaela has a seasonal BTTS of 67% and generates on average 1.18 xG per match. However, form and league context favor No Goal — the home side in the last 5 matches conceded on average 0.4 goals and scored 1.4 goals (7 goals in 5 matches), whereas the visitors in their last 5 matches scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2 goals (4 scored, 6 conceded). Additionally, the league has a high clean sheet rate of 78% and a low average goals of 1.84 per match, which increases the likelihood of a match without Goal/Goal. Although Atlético has a high seasonal BTTS rate (67%) and opponents create on average 1.97 xG against them, Tristán Suárez’s defensive edge (they concede on average 0.5 goals this season and have 75% clean sheets) and the visitors’ weaker attacking efficiency in the last 5 matches incline the selection toward BTTS - No. Therefore I assess the probability of BTTS at 35% for 'yes' and 65% for 'no', I pick 'no' as the recommended tip.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (Tristán Suárez attack xG 1.03 and Atlético Rafaela 1.18; xG conceded 1.04 and 1.97 respectively) yields predicted 1.50 xG for Suárez and 1.11 xG for Rafaela, totaling 2.61 expected goals. Season metrics send mixed signals: Suárez has 75% clean-sheet matches and averages 0.75 goals scored per game, while Rafaela records 67% of matches with both teams scoring and produces more shots (10.0 total and 3.0 on target vs. 8.25 and 2.0 for Suárez). In the last 5 appearances Suárez posts 1.3 xG and 1.4 goals per game, Rafaela 0.87 xG and 0.8 goals, which together imply roughly 2.2–2.4 goals in current form and support the likelihood of at least two strikes. Given the projected 2.61 goals and the zero percentage of matches over 3.5 goals this season for both teams, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and safest selection; Over 2.5 remains riskier (~44% probability) due to season-long Over 2.5 occurrence of 25–33% for both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tristán Suárez has an advantage in first halves: in the last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 3 of 5 games (60%) and averaged 0.8 goals by half-time, whereas Atlético Rafaela failed to score by half-time in those five matches (0.0). The hosts averaged 1.4 goals per match over the last 5 fixtures versus 0.8 for the visitors and accumulated an average of 2.0 points at half-time compared to just 0.4 points for Rafaela, confirming Tristán Suárez’s control early in games. Defensively the hosts concede only 0.5 goals per match on the season and keep clean sheets in 75% of matches, while the visitors concede on average 1.0 goal per match and have an xG against of 1.97, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for Atlético Rafaela. It should be noted, however, that the visitors are active after the break: in their last 5 matches their second half produced more than 0.5 goals in 100% of cases, and Rafaela’s season BTTS is 67%, so there is a real risk of a turnaround after half-time. Considering the hosts’ half-time advantage and solid defense, I tip 1/1 as the most likely outcome (36%), with backups 1/X (18%) and X/X (8%) due to the visitors’ second-half threat.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tristán Suárez | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tristán Suárez is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Tristán Suárez · 2 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tristán Suárez is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Tristán Suárez · 0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Tristán Suárez is 145% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.29 goals / match - Tristán Suárez · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Tristán Suárez scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tristán Suárez
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tristán Suárez is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Tristán Suárez · 1 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tristán Suárez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tristán Suárez
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Tristán Suárez | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 38% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 43% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Tristán Suárez 0:0 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela?
Tristán Suárez score 1.29 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Tristán Suárez's matches and 43% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are Tristán Suárez and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games Tristán Suárez have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela?
The statistical background for Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.