Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro: match statistics
Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tristán Suárez played Gimnasia y Tiro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tristán Suárez: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Gimnasia y Tiro: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tristán Suárez scores 1.00 and concedes 0.22 goals per match. Gimnasia y Tiro scores 1.00 and concedes 1.11. League average: 1.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tristán Suárez 22%, Gimnasia y Tiro 56%. Over 2.5: Tristán Suárez 22%, Gimnasia y Tiro 33%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Gimnasia y Tiro has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.22. Tristán Suárez: 10.0 shots per match, Gimnasia y Tiro: 10.8.
Match halves
Tristán Suárez: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. Gimnasia y Tiro: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Tristán Suárez: 0-15 (3 goals). Gimnasia y Tiro: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tristán Suárez holds a clear home advantage: unbeaten at home (0% defeats), recording clean sheets in 60% of home matches and conceding just 0.4 goals per game on average with an average xG against of 0.74. Gimnasia y Tiro struggle on the road — they concede 2.0 goals per game, suffer 67% away defeats, have no clean sheets away and have collected only 0.6 points per game over their last 5 matches. Offensively both teams produce comparable xG (1.29 for the hosts vs 1.38 for the visitors), but Tristán converts that into better efficiency: a 10% conversion rate and 1.2 goals scored per game versus 8% and 1.0 for the visitors. The visitors attempt more shots and shots on target (12.67 shots and 4.67 on target on average), but the high volume does not offset poor defending and lower finishing. Therefore the home side are the favorites — recommended probability distribution: 62% for a Tristán Suárez win, 23% draw and 15% for a Gimnasia y Tiro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have comparable xG: Tristán Suárez 1.32 and Gimnasia y Tiro 1.38, while their opponents allow xG of 1.14 and 1.17 respectively, suggesting roughly a 71% chance for each side to score at least once. Seasonal BTTS rates are 50% for the home side and 67% for the away side, and both teams average 1.0 goals per game, which further supports Goal/Goal. There is defensive asymmetry: the home team concedes 0.67 goals per game (2 conceded this season), and the visitors 2.0 goals per game (10 conceded), so Tristán Suárez statistically has a higher probability of scoring. A caution is form: the hosts have BTTS 0% in their last 5 matches and have scored 3 goals (0.6 avg), and the league records only 37% BTTS with 81% clean sheets expected, which reduces confidence in the pick. Considering the higher xG, more on-target shots for the visitors (4.67 vs 3.0) and the visitors’ weak defense, I tip BTTS - Yes with 60% confidence versus 40% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimating expected goals I averaged the attack xG with the opponent's defensive xG: (1.32 + 1.17)/2 = 1.25 for Tristán Suárez and (1.38 + 1.14)/2 = 1.26 for Gimnasia y Tiro, giving a total of 2.51 xG. A Poisson model with λ=2.51 yields roughly a 71.5% chance of Over 1.5 goals, about 46% for Over 2.5 goals and about 24.6% for Over 3.5 goals, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Season stats confirm this direction: Tristán Suárez has Over 1.5 in 67% of matches, Gimnasia in 100%, and matches involving these teams ended BTTS in 50% and 67% of cases respectively. At the same time Tristán Suárez rarely exceeds 2.5 goals (only 17% of matches) and averages 3.0 shots on target versus 4.67 for Gimnasia, which limits the value of higher lines. Therefore I recommend playing the Over 1.5 line as the strongest and most justified choice given the expected 1.25 and 1.26 goals for home and away.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Home teams led at the break in 3 matches (50%) and average 0.83 goals by Half-Time versus 0.67 for away teams; home teams concede only 0.33 goals by Half-Time while away teams concede 1.33 on average. Over the full match, home teams average 1.5 points per game versus 1.0 for away teams, and away teams concede 2.0 goals per match on average compared to 0.67 for home teams, which favors a home win. xG is similar (1.32 vs 1.38), but away teams attempt more shots (12.67 vs 9.83) and more shots on target (4.67 vs 3.0), while home teams have higher conversion rate (10% vs 8%). In the second half, away teams statistically score more goals (1.0 vs 0.5) and have goals after the break in 67% of matches, but homes have accumulated 11 points at Half-Time versus 3 for away teams (average 1.83 points at Half-Time vs 1.0) and keep a clean sheet at Half-Time in 67% of matches, indicating control of the first half. Therefore the most likely scenario is a home lead at Half-Time and maintaining the win to Full-Time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tristán Suárez | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tristán Suárez is 450% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Tristán Suárez · 0.4 pts / match - Gimnasia y Tiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tristán Suárez is 405% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.22 goals / match - Tristán Suárez · 1.11 goals / match - Gimnasia y Tiro
Tristán Suárez scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Gimnasia y Tiro keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Gimnasia y Tiro scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 78% (7 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tristán Suárez
Over / Under - Gimnasia y Tiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tristán Suárez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gimnasia y Tiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tristán Suárez
Gimnasia y Tiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Tristán Suárez | Liga | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.22 | 1.80 | ▲ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 36% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 78% | 42% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tristán Suárez 1 - 1 - 0 Gimnasia y Tiro. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Tristán Suárez 2:1 Gimnasia y Tiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tristán Suárez and Gimnasia y Tiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 1, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
Tristán Suárez score 1.00 goals per game on average and Gimnasia y Tiro 1.00. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Tristán Suárez's matches and 56% of Gimnasia y Tiro's.
What form are Tristán Suárez and Gimnasia y Tiro in?
Over the last 5 games Tristán Suárez have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Gimnasia y Tiro 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.