Tromsø vs Lillestrøm: match statistics
Tromsø vs Lillestrøm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tromsø played Lillestrøm in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 15 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Tromsø: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Lillestrøm: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tromsø scores 2.50 and concedes 0.25 goals per match. Lillestrøm scores 2.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tromsø 25%, Lillestrøm 67%. Over 2.5: Tromsø 50%, Lillestrøm 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tromsø has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.67. Tromsø: 16.0 shots per match, Lillestrøm: 15.0.
Match halves
Tromsø: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.75. Lillestrøm: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Tromsø: 46-60 (3 goals). Lillestrøm: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Tromsø: they have a 100% home winning rate (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), scoring on average 2.67 goals at home and conceding 0.0 goals per match, with a home goal difference of +8. Lillestrøm also performs well away (3-0-0), averaging 2.0 goals scored on the road and conceding 0.5 goals per match, but in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 6 goals versus 3 conceded by Tromsø, and in those five fixtures Tromsø scored 11 goals compared to Lillestrøm’s 9. Tromsø generates higher quality chances: average home xG 2.01 versus 1.77 for Lillestrøm, with xG against for the hosts 0.71 versus 1.57 for the visitors; the hosts also register more shots on target (6.67 vs 5.5) and have better finishing efficiency (16% vs 12%). Both teams have 4 wins in their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points over that period, so points form is balanced, but Tromsø’s defense gives them the edge (100% clean sheets at home vs 50% for Lillestrøm) and a superior home goal differential. Based on this I predict a home win (1): I estimate roughly a 60% probability for Tromsø, 20% for a draw and 20% for a Lillestrøm win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tromsø has recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season and averages 3.0 goals scored per game with 1.0 conceded, strongly favoring a both teams to score scenario. Lillestrøm has a seasonal clean sheet rate of 50% and concedes only 0.5 goals per game on the season, but in the last 5 matches they have conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game), indicating a short-term defensive dip. Note, however, that BTTS in the last 5 matches for both teams is 40%, which reduces the weight of Tromsø’s long-term rate. xG analysis shows 1.48 xG for Tromsø and 1.77 xG for Lillestrøm, with xG against of 1.39 and 1.57 respectively, meaning both teams create scoring opportunities and Lillestrøm has realistic chances to score (1.77 xG). Additionally, Tromsø has higher shot conversion at 25% versus Lillestrøm’s 12%, and shots 12 vs 16.5 and shots on target 5.0 vs 5.5 indicate both sides generate chances; Tromsø’s matches this season have been over 2.5 goals in 100% of games, further increasing BTTS probability. Considering Tromsø’s 100% seasonal BTTS, Lillestrøm’s defensive weakening in the last 5 (1.2 conceded) and the xG and efficiency metrics, I rate BTTS - Yes at 70% and No at 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tromsø scores on average 3.0 goals at home and concedes 1.0, while Lillestrøm away scores 2.0 and concedes 0.5 — a simple sum of seasonal averages gives 5.0 goals, although xG provides more reliable projections. After adjusting xG against opponents’ defenses, expected goals are Tromsø ≈ (1.48+1.57)/2 = 1.53 and Lillestrøm ≈ (1.77+1.39)/2 = 1.58, total ≈ 3.11 goals. Tromsø at home has 100% of matches Over 2.5 (seasonOver25Percentage_home=100%) and a high conversion rate of 25% with an average of 12 shots (12×0.25≈3.0), while Lillestrøm averages 16.5 shots with a 12% conversion (≈2.0 goals) — this strengthens the signal for Over 1.5 and Over 2.5. At the same time Lillestrøm has 50% away clean sheets and 50% away BTTS (seasonCSPercentage_away=50%, seasonBTTSPercentage_away=50%), and the combined xG=3.11 is below 3.5, which limits confidence in Over 3.5. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended), Over 2.5 has solid backing (~75%), while Over 3.5 remains risky (~35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tromsø exhibits a clear advantage in the first half: they have led at the break in 100% of home matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0), score an average of 2.0 goals before halftime and do not concede in that phase (scoredAVGHT_home = 2.0, concededAVGHT_home = 0.0), hence a strong signal for the home side to lead at Half-Time. Over the full match the hosts average 3.0 goals at home and concede 1.0 (seasonScoredAVG_home = 3.0, seasonConcededAVG_home = 1.0), and a high shot conversion rate of 25% versus Lillestrøm’s 12% (shot_conversion_rate_home = 25.0, shot_conversion_rate_away = 12.0) increases their chances of maintaining the lead. Lillestrøm, however, have a higher xG (1.77 vs 1.48; xg_for_avg_away = 1.77, xg_for_avg_home = 1.48) and are dangerous after the break—2.0 goals in minutes 46–60 and an average of 1.5 goals in the second half (goals_scored_min_46_to_60_away = 2.0, scored_2hg_avg_away = 1.5)—so I assign moderate weight to 1/X and 1/2 turnaround scenarios. Taking these numbers into account, the most reliable signal is 1/1 (48%), with 18% on 1/X as insurance against a possible Lillestrøm comeback and smaller probabilities allocated to the remaining outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tromsø | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tromsø is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Tromsø · 2.33 goals / match - Lillestrøm
Tromsø is 168% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.25 goals / match - Tromsø · 0.67 goals / match - Lillestrøm
Tromsø scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Lillestrøm scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tromsø
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Tromsø · 1.67 pts / match - Lillestrøm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 100% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tromsø
Lillestrøm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Tromsø | Liga | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.03 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 86% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tromsø 1 - 0 - 1 Lillestrøm. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tromsø vs Lillestrøm?
The Eliteserien match finished Tromsø 0:0 Lillestrøm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tromsø and Lillestrøm?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 1, Lillestrøm won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tromsø vs Lillestrøm?
Tromsø score 2.50 goals per game on average and Lillestrøm 2.33. The Eliteserien average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Tromsø's matches and 67% of Lillestrøm's.
What form are Tromsø and Lillestrøm in?
Over the last 5 games Tromsø have a 4-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Lillestrøm 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tromsø vs Lillestrøm?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tromsø vs Lillestrøm: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.