Tromsø vs Rosenborg: match statistics
Tromsø vs Rosenborg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tromsø played Rosenborg in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Tromsø: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Rosenborg: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tromsø scores 3.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Rosenborg scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tromsø 50%, Rosenborg 0%. Over 2.5: Tromsø 100%, Rosenborg 0%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Tromsø has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.18. Tromsø: 14.5 shots per match, Rosenborg: 10.5.
Match halves
Tromsø: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00. Rosenborg: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Tromsø: 0-15 (2 goals). Rosenborg: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tromsø has a clear home advantage — won 2 of 2 home matches this season (100% wins), scoring an average of 4.0 goals per game and conceding 0.0. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 11 goals and won 4 of 5 (form: W W L W W), averaging 2.4 points per game. Rosenborg are very poor away — 0 wins, 100% losses and failed to score in 100% of away matches, averaging 0.0 goals for and 2.0 conceded per away game; in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 9 goals. Tromsø averages 16 shots and 9 on target per home match with a 25% conversion rate, while Rosenborg away average 9 shots and only 2 on target with 0% conversion, indicating a higher quantity and quality of chances for the hosts. Higher home xG (1.95 vs 0.99 for the visitors), better shot efficiency and a run of clean sheets for Tromsø lead me to predict a home win; suggested probabilities are 85% Tromsø, 10% draw and 5% Rosenborg.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators are conflicting: the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 0% for Tromsø and 0% for Rosenborg, but 100% of season matches ended with at least one goal, so I place more weight on form from the last 5 fixtures. In the last 5 games Tromsø have BTTS at 60% while Rosenborg only 20%, giving a clear home advantage in participation in Goal/Goal matches. xG comparison over the last 5 shows Tromsø with attacking xG 1.55 versus Rosenborg’s defensive xG against 1.48, and Rosenborg with attacking xG 1.60 versus Tromsø’s defensive xG against 0.80 — both teams generate values suggesting realistic chances to score (1.55 vs 1.48 and 1.60 vs 0.80). Additionally Tromsø have scored 11 and conceded 4 in the last 5, while Rosenborg have 8 scored and 9 conceded; season averages for xG and shots are 1.37 xG and 12 shots for the home side versus 0.99 xG and 9 shots for the visitors, indicating the hosts create more chances but the visitors can still threaten. Considering these figures and the league BTTS rate of 54%, I assign a 60% probability to BTTS="Yes" and therefore tip "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging seasonal xG (Tromsø 1.37, Rosenborg 0.99) with last 5 matches and opponent defenses (Rosenborg concedes 1.50 xG on average, Tromsø 1.24 xG), I estimate Tromsø will generate ~1.48 expected goals, Rosenborg ~1.16, total ≈2.64 goals. Both teams have a season over 1.5 rate of 100%, which together with the expected 2.64 goals provides a very strong signal for Over 1.5. Signals for the 2.5 line are moderate: in the last five matches Tromsø scored 11 goals (2.2 avg) and had 80% of games over 2.5, Rosenborg scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) and has 40% over 2.5, which combined points to an elevated probability for Over 2.5 (~62%). The 3.5 threshold is much less likely, since the expected total of 2.64 is well below 3.5 and both teams have a season over 3.5 rate of 0%. Based on this, I recommend playing the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest signal (high probability >1.5 given expected 2.64 goals); Over 2.5 has moderate value, while Over 3.5 is risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tromsø has a higher attacking xG: 1.37 versus Rosenborg’s 0.99 and averages 12 shots per game compared to the opponent’s 9, indicating an offensive advantage for the home side. In the last 5 matches Tromsø won 4 of 5 (80%) while Rosenborg won only 1 of 5 (20%), with Tromsø leading at the break in 3 of those 5 games (60%). At half-time Tromsø scores on average 1.4 goals versus Rosenborg’s 0.8 and concedes 0.4 goals versus the visitors’ 0.6, so the home team has a clear advantage in the first 45 minutes. Rosenborg concedes an average xG of 1.5 compared to the xG against Tromsø of 1.24 and registers on average 2 shots on target per game, which gives them chances but does not offset Tromsø’s statistical edge. Considering these figures, the scenario of leading at the break and winning full-time for the home side (1/1) looks strongest and I assign it roughly a 43% probability; alternatives X/1 (15%) and X/X (10%) are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tromsø | Rosenborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 14% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tromsø is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Tromsø · 2 goals / match - Rosenborg
Tromsø scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Rosenborg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Rosenborg scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tromsø
Over / Under - Rosenborg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Tromsø · 0.5 pts / match - Rosenborg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rosenborg - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tromsø
Rosenborg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Tromsø | Liga | Rosenborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 50% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tromsø 2 - 0 - 2 Rosenborg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tromsø vs Rosenborg?
The Eliteserien match finished Tromsø 2:0 Rosenborg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tromsø and Rosenborg?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 2, Rosenborg won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tromsø vs Rosenborg?
Tromsø score 3.00 goals per game on average and Rosenborg 0.00. The Eliteserien average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tromsø's matches and 0% of Rosenborg's.
What form are Tromsø and Rosenborg in?
Over the last 5 games Tromsø have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Rosenborg 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tromsø vs Rosenborg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tromsø vs Rosenborg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


