Tromsø vs Vålerenga: match statistics
Tromsø vs Vålerenga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tromsø play Vålerenga in Eliteserien (Norway). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Alfheim Stadion. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Tromsø: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Vålerenga: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tromsø scores 1.73 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Vålerenga scores 1.46 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tromsø 33%, Vålerenga 46%. Over 2.5: Tromsø 47%, Vålerenga 46%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Vålerenga has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.65. Tromsø: 14.1 shots per match, Vålerenga: 15.8.
Match halves
Tromsø: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.00. Vålerenga: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Tromsø: 46-60 (7 goals). Vålerenga: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Tromsø show strong home metrics: 63% home win rate, averaging 1.75 goals scored and only 0.88 conceded per match, with a home xG of 1.88 versus 1.15 xG against, indicating superior quality of chances and a solid defense. Vålerenga win only 20% of away matches, score on average 0.8 goals and concede 1.8, have a lower average of shots on target per game (4.4 vs 5.88) and a markedly lower shooting accuracy (6% vs 11%), while the share of matches without scoring is 40% compared to 25% for the home side. In the last 5 matches Tromsø are 1-3-1 (4 scored, 7 conceded) and earn 1.2 points per game, whereas Vålerenga are 2-1-2 (8 scored, 8 conceded) and 1.4 points per game, showing the visitors have been slightly more effective recently but suffer significant away issues. Based on this I assign Tromsø a 62% probability, 22% for a draw and 16% for a Vålerenga win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tromsø | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vålerenga is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tromsø · 1.8 pts / match - Vålerenga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tromsø is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Tromsø · 1.46 goals / match - Vålerenga
Tromsø is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Tromsø · 1.69 goals / match - Vålerenga
Tromsø scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Vålerenga keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Vålerenga scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tromsø
Over / Under — Vålerenga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Tromsø · 1.31 pts / match - Vålerenga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vålerenga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tromsø
Vålerenga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Tromsø | Liga | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tromsø 1 - 0 - 1 Vålerenga. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tromsø vs Vålerenga?
The Eliteserien match finished Tromsø 4:0 Vålerenga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tromsø and Vålerenga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 1, Vålerenga won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tromsø vs Vålerenga?
Tromsø score 1.73 goals per game on average and Vålerenga 1.46. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tromsø's matches and 46% of Vålerenga's.
What form are Tromsø and Vålerenga in?
Over the last 5 games Tromsø have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vålerenga 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tromsø vs Vålerenga?
The statistical background for Tromsø vs Vålerenga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.