Troyes vs Red Star: match statistics
Troyes is exhibiting impressive form as league leaders, boasting a 78% home win rate and a stellar run of recent home fixtures (wwwww). The hosts average 2.33 goals per home game with an xG of 1.9, highlighting high offensive efficiency. Conversely, Red Star, despite a respectable league position, has struggled for form in their last five outings (dwddd), averaging just 1.4 points per game. The visitors possess a robust away defense (conceding 0.63 goals on average), but their attack is significantly less potent (averaging 1.5 goals) compared to Troyes. The disparity in current form, home dominance, and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.9 vs 1.3) favors a Troyes victory, although Red Star's solid defense could ensure a competitive match.
Troyes vs Red Star: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Troyes played Red Star in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Troyes: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Red Star: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Troyes scores 1.76 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Red Star scores 1.24 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Troyes 59%, Red Star 41%. Over 2.5: Troyes 53%, Red Star 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Troyes has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.28. Troyes: 14.5 shots per match, Red Star: 11.3.
Match halves
Troyes: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.12. Red Star: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Troyes: 61-75 (8 goals). Red Star: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Troyes is exhibiting impressive form as league leaders, boasting a 78% home win rate and a stellar run of recent home fixtures (wwwww). The hosts average 2.33 goals per home game with an xG of 1.9, highlighting high offensive efficiency. Conversely, Red Star, despite a respectable league position, has struggled for form in their last five outings (dwddd), averaging just 1.4 points per game. The visitors possess a robust away defense (conceding 0.63 goals on average), but their attack is significantly less potent (averaging 1.5 goals) compared to Troyes. The disparity in current form, home dominance, and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.9 vs 1.3) favors a Troyes victory, although Red Star's solid defense could ensure a competitive match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Troyes | Red Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Troyes is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Troyes · 1.4 pts / match - Red Star
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Troyes is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Troyes · 1.24 goals / match - Red Star
Red Star is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Troyes · 0.88 goals / match - Red Star
Troyes scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Red Star keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Red Star scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Troyes keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Troyes
Over / Under - Red Star
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Troyes is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Troyes · 1.24 pts / match - Red Star
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Troyes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Red Star - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Troyes
Red Star
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Troyes | Liga | Red Star | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Troyes 1 - 0 - 0 Red Star. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Troyes vs Red Star?
The Ligue 2 match finished Troyes 1:0 Red Star. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Troyes vs Red Star?
Troyes score 1.76 goals per game on average and Red Star 1.24. The Ligue 2 average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Troyes's matches and 41% of Red Star's.
What form are Troyes and Red Star in?
Over the last 5 games Troyes have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Red Star 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Troyes vs Red Star?
The statistical background for Troyes vs Red Star — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.