Truro City vs Brackley Town: match statistics
Truro City demonstrates a distinct advantage in home matches with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), while Brackley Town has poor away form with just 17% wins and a negative balance of -9. The hosts have better shooting efficiency in home matches (13% shot conversion vs 7% for visitors away) and a higher average of goals scored (1.31 vs 0.67). Brackley Town fails to score in 50% of away matches, which further diminishes their chances. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.8 points per match), however, the home field advantage and xG statistics (1.39 for hosts vs 1.35 for visitors) favor Truro City. I expect a competitive match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the average form of both squads.
Truro City vs Brackley Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Truro City played Brackley Town in National League (England). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Truro City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Brackley Town: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Truro City scores 0.92 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Brackley Town scores 0.80 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Truro City 31%, Brackley Town 40%. Over 2.5: Truro City 50%, Brackley Town 32%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Brackley Town has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.25. Truro City: 8.4 shots per match, Brackley Town: 9.6.
Match halves
Truro City: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62. Brackley Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Truro City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Brackley Town: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Truro City demonstrates a distinct advantage in home matches with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4), while Brackley Town has poor away form with just 17% wins and a negative balance of -9. The hosts have better shooting efficiency in home matches (13% shot conversion vs 7% for visitors away) and a higher average of goals scored (1.31 vs 0.67). Brackley Town fails to score in 50% of away matches, which further diminishes their chances. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.8 points per match), however, the home field advantage and xG statistics (1.39 for hosts vs 1.35 for visitors) favor Truro City. I expect a competitive match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the average form of both squads.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Truro City | Brackley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brackley Town is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Truro City · 1.8 pts / match - Brackley Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Truro City is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Truro City · 0.8 goals / match - Brackley Town
Brackley Town is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Truro City · 1.24 goals / match - Brackley Town
Truro City scores in 46% of matches (12 of 26 matches), while Brackley Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
Brackley Town scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Truro City
Over / Under - Brackley Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brackley Town is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Truro City · 1 pts / match - Brackley Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brackley Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Truro City
Brackley Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Truro City | Liga | Brackley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Truro City 0 - 0 - 1 Brackley Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Truro City vs Brackley Town?
The National League match finished Truro City 3:3 Brackley Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Truro City vs Brackley Town?
Truro City score 0.92 goals per game on average and Brackley Town 0.80. The National League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Truro City's matches and 40% of Brackley Town's.
What form are Truro City and Brackley Town in?
Over the last 5 games Truro City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Brackley Town 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Truro City vs Brackley Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Truro City vs Brackley Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.