Truro City vs Braintree Town: match statistics
Truro City, despite a difficult situation in the table (24th place), displays significantly better form in home matches than Braintree Town does away. The hosts win 31% of their home games and concede an average of only 1.25 goals per match, while the visitors lose a staggering 69% of their away fixtures, conceding an average of 2.13 goals. A key factor is also the difference in goal difference – Truro has +1 in home matches, whereas Braintree presents a disastrous -24 on the road. xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.43 vs 1.38 for the visitors), and Braintree fails to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%). Taking all data into account, Truro City has a realistic chance of victory in front of their home crowd, though the poor form of both teams in the last five matches suggests that a draw is also possible.
Truro City vs Braintree Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Truro City played Braintree Town in National League (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Truro City: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Braintree Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Truro City scores 0.94 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Braintree Town scores 0.71 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Truro City 36%, Braintree Town 35%. Over 2.5: Truro City 52%, Braintree Town 41%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Braintree Town has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.25. Truro City: 8.6 shots per match, Braintree Town: 11.9.
Match halves
Truro City: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.61. Braintree Town: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Truro City: 76-90+ (8 goals). Braintree Town: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Truro City, despite a difficult situation in the table (24th place), displays significantly better form in home matches than Braintree Town does away. The hosts win 31% of their home games and concede an average of only 1.25 goals per match, while the visitors lose a staggering 69% of their away fixtures, conceding an average of 2.13 goals. A key factor is also the difference in goal difference – Truro has +1 in home matches, whereas Braintree presents a disastrous -24 on the road. xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.43 vs 1.38 for the visitors), and Braintree fails to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%). Taking all data into account, Truro City has a realistic chance of victory in front of their home crowd, though the poor form of both teams in the last five matches suggests that a draw is also possible.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Truro City | Braintree Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Braintree Town is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Truro City · 1 pts / match - Braintree Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Truro City is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Truro City · 0.71 goals / match - Braintree Town
Braintree Town is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Truro City · 1.44 goals / match - Braintree Town
Truro City scores in 48% of matches (16 of 33 matches), while Braintree Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Braintree Town scores in 50% of matches (17 of 34 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Truro City
Over / Under - Braintree Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Braintree Town is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Truro City · 0.97 pts / match - Braintree Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Braintree Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Truro City
Braintree Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Truro City | Liga | Braintree Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 57% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Truro City 0 - 0 - 1 Braintree Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Truro City vs Braintree Town?
The National League match finished Truro City 2:3 Braintree Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Truro City vs Braintree Town?
Truro City score 0.94 goals per game on average and Braintree Town 0.71. The National League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Truro City's matches and 35% of Braintree Town's.
What form are Truro City and Braintree Town in?
Over the last 5 games Truro City have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Braintree Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Truro City vs Braintree Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.