Truro City vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Truro City vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Truro City play Carlisle United in National League (England). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Truro City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Truro City scores 0.91 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.87 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Truro City 37%, Carlisle United 51%. Over 2.5: Truro City 43%, Carlisle United 62%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.29. Truro City: 9.4 shots per match, Carlisle United: 14.1.
Match halves
Truro City: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.57. Carlisle United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.98.
Goals by minute
Truro City: 31-45+ (11 goals). Carlisle United: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match favorite is Carlisle United, so I predict an away win (2). Carlisle has 27 wins this season and sits 3rd, scoring 83 goals versus Truro City’s 40 (24th). In the last 5 matches Carlisle scored 8 goals and averages 2.2 points per game, while Truro has only 2 goals and 0.6 points per game in that period. Away, Carlisle averages 1.5 goals, registers 4.68 shots on target and has an average xG of 1.55 with 14% clean-sheet-less matches, whereas Truro at home averages 1.18 goals, 3.18 shots on target, xG 1.38 and 41% of matches without scoring. Both defenses concede at a similar rate (Truro 1.27 goals conceded at home vs Carlisle 1.23 conceded away), but Carlisle’s superiority in chance creation and finishing and their stable results (away win% 59% vs Truro home win% 23%) support an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Truro City | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Truro City · 2 pts / match - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Truro City · 1.87 goals / match - Carlisle United
Carlisle United is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Truro City · 1.13 goals / match - Carlisle United
Truro City scores in 50% of matches (23 of 46 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (18 of 47 matches).
Carlisle United scores in 87% of matches (41 of 47 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Truro City
Over / Under — Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Truro City · 1.55 pts / match - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Truro City
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Truro City | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.92 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Truro City 0 - 0 - 1 Carlisle United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Truro City vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Truro City 0:1 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Truro City vs Carlisle United?
Truro City score 0.91 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.87. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Truro City's matches and 51% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Truro City and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Truro City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carlisle United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Truro City vs Carlisle United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.