Truro City vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Truro City vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Truro City play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Truro City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Truro City scores 0.91 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Truro City 37%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: Truro City 43%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.29. Truro City: 9.4 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.2.
Match halves
Truro City: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.57. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02.
Goals by minute
Truro City: 31-45+ (11 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Forest Green is the favorite based on hard numbers: they have 21 wins and a 72-48 goal record this season, while Truro have just 7 wins and a 39-69 goal record. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 10 goals and won 3 games, which translates to an average of 1.8 points per match, whereas Truro scored 5 goals, won 1 and average 1.0 point. Statistically Forest Green creates better chances — away xG of 1.65 versus home xG of 1.37 for Truro, and 13.05 average shots with 5.1 shots on target per game compared to 9.86 and 3.24 for Truro. Truro also fail to score in 43% of home matches versus only 24% of occasions when Forest Green don’t score away, and the home side’s goal difference at home is -2 versus +4 on the road for the visitors; average goals conceded are similar (1.29 each). Considering the superiority in shot volume, higher xG, better form metrics and the gap in league position (6th vs 24th), I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Truro City | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forest Green Rovers is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Truro City · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forest Green Rovers is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Truro City · 1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Truro City · 1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Truro City scores in 50% of matches (23 of 46 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Truro City
Over / Under — Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forest Green Rovers is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Truro City · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Truro City
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Truro City | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.92 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Truro City 0 - 1 - 0 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Truro City vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Truro City 1:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Truro City vs Forest Green Rovers?
Truro City score 0.91 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.74. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Truro City's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Truro City and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Truro City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Truro City vs Forest Green Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Truro City vs Forest Green Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.