Truro City vs Hartlepool United: match statistics
Hartlepool United appears to be the favorite for this matchup, despite playing away. Truro City occupies the last, 24th place in the table with a disastrous record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and a staggering 23 losses this season. The hosts are in terrible form - winless in their last 5 matches, earning just 1 point and scoring only 5 goals while conceding 10. Hartlepool United sits in 9th position with a solid 13-12-11 record and shows significantly better efficiency - a 35% away win rate and an impressive 41% clean sheet rate in away matches. The visitors have a clear advantage in offensive statistics (4.71 shots on target per match compared to the hosts' 3.59) and a better average ball possession (47% vs 45%). Although Hartlepool's recent form is not perfect either (2 wins in their last 5 matches), they completely outclass the hosts in every aspect, making their victory the most probable outcome.
Truro City vs Hartlepool United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Truro City played Hartlepool United in National League (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Truro City: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hartlepool United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Truro City scores 0.94 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Hartlepool United scores 1.17 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Truro City 39%, Hartlepool United 44%. Over 2.5: Truro City 50%, Hartlepool United 36%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Hartlepool United has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.31. Truro City: 9.3 shots per match, Hartlepool United: 11.8.
Match halves
Truro City: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.58. Hartlepool United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Truro City: 31-45+ (9 goals). Hartlepool United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hartlepool United appears to be the favorite for this matchup, despite playing away. Truro City occupies the last, 24th place in the table with a disastrous record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and a staggering 23 losses this season. The hosts are in terrible form - winless in their last 5 matches, earning just 1 point and scoring only 5 goals while conceding 10. Hartlepool United sits in 9th position with a solid 13-12-11 record and shows significantly better efficiency - a 35% away win rate and an impressive 41% clean sheet rate in away matches. The visitors have a clear advantage in offensive statistics (4.71 shots on target per match compared to the hosts' 3.59) and a better average ball possession (47% vs 45%). Although Hartlepool's recent form is not perfect either (2 wins in their last 5 matches), they completely outclass the hosts in every aspect, making their victory the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Truro City | Hartlepool United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hartlepool United is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Truro City · 1.2 pts / match - Hartlepool United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hartlepool United is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Truro City · 1.17 goals / match - Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Truro City · 1.11 goals / match - Hartlepool United
Truro City scores in 50% of matches (18 of 36 matches), while Hartlepool United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
Hartlepool United scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Truro City
Over / Under - Hartlepool United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartlepool United is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Truro City · 1.22 pts / match - Hartlepool United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hartlepool United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Truro City
Hartlepool United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Truro City | Liga | Hartlepool United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 57% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Truro City 0 - 0 - 1 Hartlepool United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Truro City vs Hartlepool United?
The National League match finished Truro City 0:1 Hartlepool United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Truro City vs Hartlepool United?
Truro City score 0.94 goals per game on average and Hartlepool United 1.17. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Truro City's matches and 44% of Hartlepool United's.
What form are Truro City and Hartlepool United in?
Over the last 5 games Truro City have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hartlepool United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Truro City vs Hartlepool United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Truro City vs Hartlepool United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.