TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match statistics
TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TS Galaxy played Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
TS Galaxy: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Mamelodi Sundowns: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
TS Galaxy scores 0.96 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Mamelodi Sundowns scores 1.90 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TS Galaxy 43%, Mamelodi Sundowns 48%. Over 2.5: TS Galaxy 32%, Mamelodi Sundowns 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Mamelodi Sundowns has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.33. TS Galaxy: 11.0 shots per match, Mamelodi Sundowns: 14.0.
Match halves
TS Galaxy: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61. Mamelodi Sundowns: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
TS Galaxy: 61-75 (8 goals). Mamelodi Sundowns: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns are clear favorites: they sit 1st in the table versus TS Galaxy’s 12th position and have 20 wins and only 1 loss this season, while Galaxy have 7 wins and 14 losses. In their last 5 matches the home side have not won (0-3-2), scoring 3 and conceding 5, whereas Sundowns in that period recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 12 goals (PPG 2.2 vs 0.6). Defensively the visitors are materially stronger: Sundowns concede 0.36 goals on average away and keep 64% clean sheets, while Galaxy concede 1.21 goals at home on average and have 36% clean sheets. In chance creation Sundowns post 1.62 xG per away match versus the home side’s 1.37 xG, also registering a higher shots average (13.5 vs 11.86) and 71% possession vs 52%, indicating game control. Based on this I propose a probability split: 60% for an away win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a TS Galaxy win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess the 'No' scenario as more likely: Mamelodi Sundowns keep a clean sheet in 64% of away matches and concede only 0.36 goals on average away, which strongly argues against BTTS - Yes. TS Galaxy have 67% of home games this season with both teams scoring, but in the last 5 home matches the hosts scored only 3 goals (0.6 per game) with an average xG of 1.57, indicating a drop in finishing. Mamelodi have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game) with an xG of 1.9, so they are in clear attacking form, however Sundowns’ season rate of games with both teams scoring is only 29%. Additionally, the league shows a 73% share of clean-sheet matches and 40% share of matches with both teams scoring, which overall favors a No Goal outcome. Considering Mamelodi’s 64% clean sheets, 0.36 average goals conceded away and Galaxy’s poor recent scoring form (0.6 goals in the last 5), I estimate BTTS probability at 38% and No BTTS at 62%, therefore I recommend 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
TS Galaxy score an average of 2.67 goals at home with an xG of 1.87, while Mamelodi Sundowns concede only 0.36 goals on average away and have xG against 0.85 — averaging these values yields a projected 1.36 xG for the hosts. For the visitors the combined xG is (1.62 + 0.92)/2 = 1.27, giving an expected 2.63 goals in the match. Season metrics show Galaxy have Over 1.5 in 93% of games and Over 2.5 in 60%, whereas Sundowns have Over 1.5 in 50% and Over 2.5 in only 7%, so the strongest signal points to the Over 1.5 market. Galaxy register 6.8 shots on target per game versus Sundowns’ 3.79 and have conversion rates of 18% vs 8% — this increases the chance of early goals for the hosts, although Sundowns’ high clean sheet rate (64%) limits the probability of a very high-scoring affair. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 (over) as the best line with an estimated probability of around 74%; Over 2.5 is borderline (~49%), and Over 3.5 appears risky (~27%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
TS Galaxy have a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 10 matches (67%), scoring an average of 1.33 first-half goals versus 0.43 for Mamelodi Sundowns, who led at the break in only 4 matches (29%). However, recent form over the last 5 matches favors Sundowns — the visitors have a 60% win rate in their last five and score an average of 2.4 goals per match in that period, while Galaxy have a 0% win rate and only 0.6 goals on average in their last five. Sundowns perform better after the break: in the last five matches they earn an average of 2.0 points in second halves versus 1.2 points for Galaxy, suggesting frequent turnarounds after half-time. Additionally, seasonal numbers show higher first-half and home offensive efficiency for the hosts (xG 1.87 vs 1.62, 6.8 shots on target and an 18% conversion for Galaxy versus 3.79 shots on target and an 8% conversion for Sundowns), so I expect Galaxy to lead at the break and Sundowns to stage a comeback and win (scenario 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - TS Galaxy · 2.2 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 98% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - TS Galaxy · 1.9 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - TS Galaxy · 0.62 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
TS Galaxy scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while TS Galaxy keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - TS Galaxy
Over / Under - Mamelodi Sundowns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - TS Galaxy · 1.86 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TS Galaxy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TS Galaxy
Mamelodi Sundowns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| TS Galaxy | Liga | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.25 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 32% | 32% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 37% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: TS Galaxy 0 - 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The Premier Soccer League match finished TS Galaxy 3:2 Mamelodi Sundowns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
TS Galaxy score 0.96 goals per game on average and Mamelodi Sundowns 1.90. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 43% of TS Galaxy's matches and 48% of Mamelodi Sundowns's.
What form are TS Galaxy and Mamelodi Sundowns in?
Over the last 5 games TS Galaxy have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The statistical background for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.