TS Galaxy vs Richards Bay: match statistics
TS Galaxy vs Richards Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
TS Galaxy played Richards Bay in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
TS Galaxy: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Richards Bay: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
TS Galaxy scores 1.04 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Richards Bay scores 0.83 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: TS Galaxy 42%, Richards Bay 46%. Over 2.5: TS Galaxy 38%, Richards Bay 33%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Richards Bay has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.26. TS Galaxy: 10.4 shots per match, Richards Bay: 11.4.
Match halves
TS Galaxy: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67. Richards Bay: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
TS Galaxy: 61-75 (8 goals). Richards Bay: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): TS Galaxy averages 1.18 goals per home match, while Richards Bay scores only 0.42 goals in away games. The home side averages 3.27 shots on target and 11.09 attempts per home match with an 11% conversion rate, whereas the visitors register 2.5 shots on target and just 4% conversion away, so TS Galaxy converts chances into goals more than twice as often. Both teams have similar xG (1.26 xG for TS Galaxy at home vs 1.28 xG for Richards Bay away), indicating comparable chance quality, but the home advantage is amplified by higher possession (50% vs 42%) and a superior home win rate (45% vs the visitors’ 8% away wins). Form is poor for both: TS Galaxy in the last 5 matches has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (0.4 points per game), while Richards Bay has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 points per game); however, the visitors fail to score in 58% of their away matches versus 36% for the home side. Considering the efficiency edge (11% vs 4%), greater shots on target (3.27 vs 2.5) and better utilization of possession, I estimate a 60% probability of a TS Galaxy win, 20% for a draw and 20% for a Richards Bay win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes (65% vs 35%) because combined xG is 1.48 + 1.28 = 2.76, well above the league average of 2.03, indicating higher scoring potential. In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 60% each; over that period TS Galaxy conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game (12 conceded in 5), while Richards Bay conceded 1.6 (8 conceded in 5), increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Seasonally TS Galaxy records BTTS 58%, averages 4.5 shots on target and has xG 1.48 with 1.25 goals per game, whereas Richards Bay has seasonal BTTS 33%, averages 0.42 goals per game and a conversion rate of 4%, meaning they rarely finish chances. Despite the visitors’ low season conversion, their recent form (1.0 goal per game in the last 5) and the home side’s poor defence in the last 5 (2.4 conceded) make the BTTS signal stronger than the opposing one, even though the league BTTS percentage is 39%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and recent form projects a total of 2.87 expected goals: 1.53 for TS Galaxy (attacking xG 1.48 vs Richards Bay’s average conceded xG 1.57) and 1.34 for Richards Bay (attacking xG 1.28 vs hosts’ average conceded xG 1.39). A Poisson distribution with mean 2.87 yields roughly a 78% chance of Over 1.5 (1 − P(0 or 1) ≈ 0.78), about 55% for Over 2.5 and about 32% for Over 3.5. Additionally, TS Galaxy averages 4.5 shots on target with a 10% conversion rate versus Richards Bay’s 2.5 shots on target and 4% conversion, which increases the hosts’ scoring probability. Seasonal indicators confirm the trend: Over 1.5 occurred in 67% of home games and 50% of away games, and in the last 5 matches Galaxy scored 3 and conceded 12 (avg. 0.6 scored, 2.4 conceded). Therefore the strongest logical and statistical signal is Over 1.5, so I recommend the Over side at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a TS Galaxy win after 90 minutes (X/1): the hosts drew at the break in 67% of matches and won 42% of their home games over the season. Offensive metrics favor Galaxy — xG 1.48 versus the visitors' 1.28, 4.5 shots on target versus 2.5 and a finishing rate of 10% vs 4%, which increases the hosts’ chance of scoring in the second half. After the break Galaxy average 0.58 goals and 1.5 points in second halves, while Richards Bay have only 0.17 goals and 0.58 points in second halves, supporting a turnaround by the hosts. Additionally, the visitors average just 0.42 goals per game this season and fail to score in 58% of matches, which limits their chances of winning after a draw at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| TS Galaxy | Richards Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Richards Bay is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - TS Galaxy · 0.8 pts / match - Richards Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TS Galaxy is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - TS Galaxy · 0.83 goals / match - Richards Bay
Richards Bay is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - TS Galaxy · 1.13 goals / match - Richards Bay
TS Galaxy scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Richards Bay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Richards Bay scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while TS Galaxy keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - TS Galaxy
Over / Under - Richards Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TS Galaxy is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - TS Galaxy · 1.13 pts / match - Richards Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
TS Galaxy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Richards Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
TS Galaxy
Richards Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| TS Galaxy | Liga | Richards Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.02 | • 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 32% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: TS Galaxy 0 - 1 - 0 Richards Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of TS Galaxy vs Richards Bay?
The Premier Soccer League match finished TS Galaxy 0:1 Richards Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before TS Galaxy vs Richards Bay?
TS Galaxy score 1.04 goals per game on average and Richards Bay 0.83. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 42% of TS Galaxy's matches and 46% of Richards Bay's.
What form are TS Galaxy and Richards Bay in?
Over the last 5 games TS Galaxy have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Richards Bay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TS Galaxy vs Richards Bay?
The statistical background for TS Galaxy vs Richards Bay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.