Tukums II vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: match statistics
Tukums II vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums II played Beitar / Riga Mariners in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Tukums II: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums II scores 1.50 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 3.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums II 100%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 50%. Over 2.5: Tukums II 100%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 0%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Beitar / Riga Mariners has higher xG: 1.66 vs 0.89. Tukums II: 5.0 shots per match, Beitar / Riga Mariners: 11.0.
Match halves
Tukums II: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Tukums II: 31-45+ (2 goals). Beitar / Riga Mariners: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.60 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2); Beitar / Riga Mariners have a 100% away win rate and concede on average 0 goals per away match. Tukums II lose all home matches (100% defeats), concede on average 3 goals per home game and have xG for 0.57 versus xG against 2.58, indicating weak defending and low quality of created chances. The visitors average 9 shots per game with 6 on target, 56% possession and xG 1.42, i.e. they generate more and better opportunities (SOT 6 vs 3; xG 1.42 vs 0.57). In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 and conceded 16 (record 1-1-3), while Beitar are 3-1-1 with a 9-7 goal record, so the visitors clearly have the edge in form and defense.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Tukums II has a season BTTS rate of 100% and BTTS 100% in the last 5 matches, while Beitar/Riga Mariners has a season BTTS of 0% but a 60% BTTS rate in its last 5 matches. xG analysis shows Tukums with xG_for 1.9 versus opponents’ xG_against 1.2 (advantage +0.70), and Beitar with xG_for 1.42 versus Tukums’ xG_against 1.05 (advantage +0.37), which suggests the possibility of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Tukums scored 10 and conceded 16 (avg. 2.0 scored and 3.2 conceded), while Beitar scored 9 and conceded 7 (avg. 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded), so both teams have regularly been involved in Goal/Goal games. Additionally, the league has a season BTTS share of 64%; although seasonally Beitar shows 100% clean sheets and Tukums 0%, Beitar’s last 5 matches (7 goals conceded) undermine that seasonal metric and give more weight to recent form. On this basis I assess BTTS - Yes as more likely and tip 'yes' with a probability of 78% versus 22% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields: Tukums II xG_for 1.90 vs opponents’ xG_against 1.20 → expected home goals ≈1.55; Beitar xG_for 1.42 vs home xG_against 1.05 → expected away goals ≈1.24; total ≈2.79. With combined λ=2.79 the Poisson distribution gives ~77% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~53% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~31% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Additionally Tukums II averages 13 shots with 5 on target (conversion 8%), and Beitar 9 shots with 6 on target (conversion 11%), supporting realistic scoring chances from both sides. In the last 5 matches Tukums II averaged 2.0 scored and 3.2 conceded, while Beitar had 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, so recent form favors higher-scoring games. Consequently the strongest data signal is Over 1.5 (selection: Over, line 1.5) — highest projected probability and consistency with xG=2.79 and shot statistics.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates the away team to lead at the break and win (HT/FT 2/2): in the provided data the away side has 100% wins and led at half-time in 100% of cases, averaging 3.0 points per match, which strongly favors an away victory. Form supports this: in the last 5 matches the away team won 60% of games versus 20% for the home team (60% vs 20%) and they average 1.8 points by half-time compared to 1.0 for the home side (1.8 vs 1.0), increasing the likelihood they will be leading after 45 minutes. Although the home team generates higher xG (1.9 vs 1.42) and attempts more shots (13 vs 9), the away team converts better (11% shot conversion vs 8%) and records more shots on target (6 vs 5), so with greater efficiency the away side can realize the advantage. Additionally, homes concede an average of 1.8 goals by half-time in their last 5 matches while the away team concedes 0.4 (1.8 vs 0.4), which logically supports the scenario of the away team leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums II | Beitar / Riga Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 80% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Tukums II · 2 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums II is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Tukums II · 1 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Tukums II · 0.5 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Tukums II scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tukums II
Over / Under - Beitar / Riga Mariners
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Tukums II · 2 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums II
Beitar / Riga Mariners
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums II | Liga | Beitar / Riga Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.60 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Beitar / Riga MarinersGoalAlgirdas Gražis
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tukums II 0 - 0 - 2 Beitar / Riga Mariners. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums II vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?
The 1. Liga match finished Tukums II 1:3 Beitar / Riga Mariners. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums II and Beitar / Riga Mariners?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tukums II won 0, Beitar / Riga Mariners won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums II vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?
Tukums II score 1.50 goals per game on average and Beitar / Riga Mariners 1.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Tukums II's matches and 50% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's.
What form are Tukums II and Beitar / Riga Mariners in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums II have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Beitar / Riga Mariners 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums II vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?
The statistical background for Tukums II vs Beitar / Riga Mariners — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.