Tukums II vs Mārupe: match statistics
Tukums II vs Mārupe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums II play Mārupe in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tukums II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mārupe: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums II scores 1.38 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. Mārupe scores 1.69 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums II 77%, Mārupe 46%. Over 2.5: Tukums II 69%, Mārupe 77%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums II has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.46. Tukums II: 10.5 shots per match, Mārupe: 9.5.
Match halves
Tukums II: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.92. Mārupe: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.31.
Goals by minute
Tukums II: 76-90+ (7 goals). Mārupe: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Mārupe (5th) has a better season record than Tukums II (10th): the visitors have scored 12 and conceded 5, while the hosts have 7 and conceded 12. In the last 5 matches Mārupe scored 8 and conceded 5 (2–1–2), whereas Tukums II have 7 goals and as many as 12 conceded with a 1–1–3 record, indicating clearer form stability for the visitors. Away, Mārupe concedes on average 0.67 goals and keep 67% clean sheets, while Tukums II at home concede 2.00 goals on average and have only 33% clean sheets, so the defensive edge lies with the visitors. The hosts attempt more shots (11.33 per match and 7 on target) and have higher xG (1.6 vs 1.33), but they also have a much higher xG against (2.2 vs 1.16) and are more prone to conceding. Considering the average points from the last 5 matches (1.4 for Mārupe vs 0.8 for Tukums) and the visitors’ superior defense, I favor a Mārupe win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums II | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Tukums II · 1.69 goals / match - Mārupe
Mārupe is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.38 goals / match - Tukums II · 1.46 goals / match - Mārupe
Tukums II scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Mārupe scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums II
Over / Under — Mārupe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mārupe is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Tukums II · 1.08 pts / match - Mārupe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums II
Mārupe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums II | Liga | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.77 | 3.43 | ▼ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 60% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 69% | 68% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tukums II 0 - 0 - 2 Mārupe. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums II vs Mārupe?
The 1. Liga match finished Tukums II 1:2 Mārupe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums II and Mārupe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tukums II won 0, Mārupe won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums II vs Mārupe?
Tukums II score 1.38 goals per game on average and Mārupe 1.69. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Tukums II's matches and 46% of Mārupe's.
What form are Tukums II and Mārupe in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mārupe 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums II vs Mārupe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tukums II vs Mārupe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.