Tukums II vs Smiltene: match statistics
Tukums II vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums II play Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tukums II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Smiltene: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums II scores 1.38 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.00 and concedes 2.54. League average: 3.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums II 77%, Smiltene 46%. Over 2.5: Tukums II 69%, Smiltene 54%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums II has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.13. Tukums II: 10.5 shots per match, Smiltene: 8.2.
Match halves
Tukums II: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.92. Smiltene: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Tukums II: 76-90+ (7 goals). Smiltene: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Tukums II averages 1.25 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.51, while Smiltene scores only 0.75 goals away with xG 1.06. The visitors’ defense is markedly weaker — Smiltene concedes 4.0 goals on average away versus Tukums conceding 2.0 at home, which increases the hosts’ offensive prospects. Tukums generates more chances (10.5 shots and 6 on target at home) with a conversion rate of 12%, whereas Smiltene averages 8.25 shots and 4 on target with a 9% conversion. Additionally, Tukums have not had a goalless home game (0% such matches), while Smiltene failed to score in 75% of away fixtures; over the last 5 matches Tukums has 2 wins and averages 1.2 points, Smiltene has 0 wins and 0.2 points. Considering the xG advantage (1.51 vs 1.06), higher number of shots on target and the visitors’ poor defense, I assess probabilities as 70% home, 18% draw and 12% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums II | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Smiltene is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Tukums II · 0.8 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums II is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Tukums II · 1 goals / match - Smiltene
Tukums II is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.38 goals / match - Tukums II · 2.54 goals / match - Smiltene
Tukums II scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Smiltene scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums II
Over / Under — Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums II
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums II | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.77 | 3.43 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 60% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tukums II 1 - 0 - 1 Smiltene. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums II vs Smiltene?
The 1. Liga match finished Tukums II 1:1 Smiltene. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums II and Smiltene?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tukums II won 1, Smiltene won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums II vs Smiltene?
Tukums II score 1.38 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Tukums II's matches and 46% of Smiltene's.
What form are Tukums II and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Smiltene 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums II vs Smiltene?
The statistical background for Tukums II vs Smiltene — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.