Latvia - 1. LigaData current as of 20 October 2026

Tukums II vs Super Nova II: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tukums II vs Super Nova II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tukums II play Super Nova II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 22 October 2026.

Current form

Tukums II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Super Nova II: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tukums II scores 1.35 and concedes 2.83 goals per match. Super Nova II scores 1.30 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tukums II 70%, Super Nova II 70%. Over 2.5: Tukums II 74%, Super Nova II 48%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

xG, shots and style

Tukums II has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.14. Tukums II: 8.3 shots per match, Super Nova II: 7.1.

Match halves

Tukums II: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.74. Super Nova II: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.52.

Goals by minute

Tukums II: 76-90+ (10 goals). Super Nova II: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.71 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tukums IISuper Nova II
1.35Goals scored / match1.3
Tukums IISuper Nova II
2.83Goals conceded / match1.57
Tukums IISuper Nova II
33%Average possession40%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
3.35Shots on target / match3.35
Tukums IISuper Nova II

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.26Shots per match7.13
Tukums IISuper Nova II
3.35Shots on target3.35
Tukums IISuper Nova II
16.3%Shot conversion18.3%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
33%Possession40%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
1.54xG for1.14
Tukums IISuper Nova II
1.91xG against1.81
Tukums IISuper Nova II

Shooting quality

Tukums II: Counter-attackingSuper Nova II: Counter-attacking
Tukums IISuper Nova II
Accuracy (shots on target)41%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tukums II is 250% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Tukums II · 0.4 pts / match - Super Nova II

Tukums II
LWWLD
Season result split
22% W17% D61% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-14
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -34
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Super Nova II
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W35% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-9
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 2.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Super Nova II is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.83 goals / match - Tukums II · 1.57 goals / match - Super Nova II

Tukums II scoring profile: very strong

Tukums II scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

Super Nova II scoring profile: very strong

Super Nova II scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).

31Goals scored (season)30
Tukums IISuper Nova II
65Goals conceded (season)36
Tukums IISuper Nova II
4.17Average goals in match2.87
Tukums IISuper Nova II
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Tukums IISuper Nova II
11Goals conceded (last 5)10
Tukums IISuper Nova II

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
39%2 goals35%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
9%3 goals13%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
4%4 goals0%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal83%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
70%2 goals39%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
52%3 goals17%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
30%4 goals4%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time22%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
9%BTTS in both halves0%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
26%Scored in both halves17%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
60%BTTS - last 580%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
61%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
35%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Super Nova II is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / match - Tukums II · 1.43 pts / match - Super Nova II

Tukums II - half-time state
22% leading17% draw61% trailing
Super Nova II - half-time state
35% leading39% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per match (1st half)1.43
Tukums IISuper Nova II
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Tukums IISuper Nova II
1.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
Tukums IISuper Nova II
2.22Average goals (1st half)1.39
Tukums IISuper Nova II
30%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
52%No goal before half-time43%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)1.04
Tukums IISuper Nova II
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
Tukums IISuper Nova II
1.22Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Tukums IISuper Nova II
1.96Average goals (2nd half)1.22
Tukums IISuper Nova II
30%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Tukums IISuper Nova II
39%No goal after half-time65%
Tukums IISuper Nova II

Tukums II - second-half results

22% W26% D52% L
19
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-23
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Super Nova II - second-half results

17% W52% D30% L
33
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tukums II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Super Nova II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.60.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tukums II
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
4
12
16-30
7
18
31-45
4
9
46-60
3
8
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Super Nova II
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
8
16-30
5
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tukums II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
170%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Super Nova II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Tukums IILigaSuper Nova II
Average goals in match▲ 4.173.71▼ 2.87
Both teams scored▲ 70%63%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 74%70%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 13%20%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%76%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%83%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.71
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
2.04
Home goals / match
1.66
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
60%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Tukums II 0 - 0 - 1 Super Nova II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Tukums II and Super Nova II play?

Tukums II face Super Nova II on 22 October 2026 in 1. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Tukums II vs Super Nova II?

Tukums II score 1.35 goals per game on average and Super Nova II 1.30. The 1. Liga average is 3.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Tukums II's matches and 70% of Super Nova II's.

What form are Tukums II and Super Nova II in?

Over the last 5 games Tukums II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Super Nova II 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums II vs Super Nova II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tukums II vs Super Nova II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.