Latvia - 1. LigaData current as of 23 July 2026

Tukums II vs Valmiera / BSS: match statistics

Tukums II crest
Tukums II
1 : 4half-time 0:1
Valmiera / BSS crest
Valmiera / BSS

Tukums II vs Valmiera / BSS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tukums II play Valmiera / BSS in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 14 June 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Tukums II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Valmiera / BSS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tukums II scores 1.38 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. Valmiera / BSS scores 2.69 and concedes 0.92. League average: 3.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tukums II 77%, Valmiera / BSS 69%. Over 2.5: Tukums II 69%, Valmiera / BSS 77%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.

xG, shots and style

Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.57. Tukums II: 10.5 shots per match, Valmiera / BSS: 14.0.

Match halves

Tukums II: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.92. Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 2.08.

Goals by minute

Tukums II: 76-90+ (7 goals). Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

The favorites are the visitors — Valmiera/BSS — who sit 2nd in the table with a season record of 6 wins, 2 draws and only 1 loss, while Tukums II are 9th with 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. On paper Valmiera’s superiority in attack and efficiency is clear: the visitors average 2.33 goals on the road with a shot conversion rate of 22%, whereas the hosts score 1.2 goals per home game with an 11% conversion. Defensive metrics also favor Valmiera — Tukums II have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches (2.8 per game) versus Valmiera’s 5 conceded in five (1.0 per game), with overall averages of 1.8 goals conceded by the home side vs 1.33 conceded by the visitors away. Additionally Valmiera have better recent form: 1.6 points per game in the last 5 matches compared to 0.8 for Tukums II, and they win 67% of away fixtures versus the hosts’ 20% home win rate; the goal difference gap (gd: +6 for Valmiera vs −3 for Tukums at home) confirms the edge. Based on this I back the visitors to win with a probability margin, while noting the hosts can still score (0% FTS at home), so a draw and goalful matches remain possible.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
14Shots11
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
5Shots on target6
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.84xG1.56
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
9Corners4
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
83Dangerous attacks61
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
8Fouls7
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
0Cards0
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.38Goals scored / match2.69
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
2.38Goals conceded / match0.92
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
42%Average possession57%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
4.69Shots on target / match7.77
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.46Shots per match14
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
4.69Shots on target7.77
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
13.2%Shot conversion19.2%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
42%Possession57%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.57xG for1.94
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.79xG against1.5
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

Shooting quality

Tukums II: Counter-attackingValmiera / BSS: Dominant
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
Accuracy (shots on target)45%55%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valmiera / BSS is 333% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Tukums II · 2.6 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS

Tukums II
LLLLW
Season result split
23% W15% R62% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-8
0.85 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Valmiera / BSS
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
77% W15% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-1
2.46 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valmiera / BSS is 95% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Tukums II · 2.69 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS

Valmiera / BSS is 159% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.38 goals / match - Tukums II · 0.92 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS

Tukums II scoring profile: very strong

Tukums II scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

Valmiera / BSS scoring profile: very strong

Valmiera / BSS scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

18Goals scored (season)35
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
31Goals conceded (season)12
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
3.77Average goals in match3.62
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
5Goals scored (last 5)13
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
15Goals conceded (last 5)2
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal92%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
31%2 goals77%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
8%3 goals62%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
8%4 goals31%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal69%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
69%2 goals15%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
46%3 goals8%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
23%4 goals0%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time8%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
15%Scored in both halves46%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

BTTS and goal count

69%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
60%BTTS - last 540%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
69%Min. 2 goals after half-time92%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time62%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valmiera / BSS is 140% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.77 pts / match - Tukums II · 1.85 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS

Tukums II - half-time state
15% leading31% draw54% trailing
Valmiera / BSS - half-time state
46% leading46% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.77Points per match (1st half)1.85
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.15
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.54Average goals (1st half)0.77
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
31%Clean sheet before half-time85%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
62%No goal before half-time46%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)2.31
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)2.08
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
1.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
2.23Average goals (2nd half)2.85
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
31%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
31%No goal after half-time15%
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS

Tukums II - second-half results

31% W15% R54% P
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Valmiera / BSS - second-half results

69% W23% R8% P
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tukums II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.02.0
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-5-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Valmiera / BSS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tukums II
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
5
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Valmiera / BSS
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
10
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
85%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tukums II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
149%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

Valmiera / BSS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.75
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.5
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Tukums IILigaValmiera / BSS
Average goals in match 3.773.43 3.62
Both teams scored 77%60% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%68% 77%
Clean sheets 15%23% 31%
Goal before half-time 77%71% 62%
Goal after half-time 100%84% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.43
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.82
Home goals / match
1.60
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
64%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Tukums II vs Valmiera / BSS?

The 1. Liga match finished Tukums II 1:4 Valmiera / BSS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Tukums II vs Valmiera / BSS?

Tukums II score 1.38 goals per game on average and Valmiera / BSS 2.69. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Tukums II's matches and 69% of Valmiera / BSS's.

What form are Tukums II and Valmiera / BSS in?

Over the last 5 games Tukums II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Valmiera / BSS 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums II vs Valmiera / BSS?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tukums II vs Valmiera / BSS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.