Tukums vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Tukums vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Tukums: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. FS Jelgava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.65 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.04 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 91%, FS Jelgava 43%. Over 2.5: Tukums 78%, FS Jelgava 39%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.30. Tukums: 11.9 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 10.6.
Match halves
Tukums: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). FS Jelgava: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 0-3-3. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast a draw because both teams generate a similar number of expected chances — Tukums averages 1.2 xG at home while FS Jelgava posts 1.38 xG away, indicating balanced goal-scoring potential. Defensively Jelgava has the edge: as visitors they concede only 0.75 goals per game on average and keep clean sheets in 25% of matches, whereas Tukums concedes 1.6 goals at home and has recorded no clean sheets (0%). Offensively the hosts are more efficient — Tukums scores 1.2 goals at home on average, records 4 shots on target per match and has a 13% conversion rate, and they have no goalless home games (0%), while Jelgava scores 0.75 goals away with just a 7% conversion. In the last 5 matches Tukums has scored 8 and conceded 10, yielding 0.6 points per game, while Jelgava has 4 scored and 6 conceded with 0.8 points per game; this shows a slight advantage to the visitors in points but not clear dominance. Considering the high draw rate for the home side (60% draws for Tukums) and 50% draws for Jelgava away, the most likely outcome is a share of points: draw 50%, home win 30%, away win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Tukums · 1.04 goals / match - FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Tukums · 1.7 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Tukums scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums
Over / Under — FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Tukums · 1.43 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.70 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 91% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tukums 0 - 3 - 3 FS Jelgava. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Tukums 5:0 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and FS Jelgava?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tukums won 0, FS Jelgava won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Tukums score 1.65 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.04. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 91% of Tukums's matches and 43% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Tukums and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and FS Jelgava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.