Tukums vs Grobiņa: match statistics
Tukums vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums played Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tukums: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Grobiņa: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Grobiņa scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 100%, Grobiņa 0%. Over 2.5: Tukums 67%, Grobiņa 0%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums has higher xG: 1.49 vs 0.93. Tukums: 13.0 shots per match, Grobiņa: 7.7.
Match halves
Tukums: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Grobiņa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 16-30 (1 goals). Grobiņa: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grobiņa shows better form: 3 wins in the last 5 matches and an average of 2 points per game in that period, while Tukums has 1 win in the last 5 and averages 1 point per game. At home Tukums has 65% possession, averages 11 shots (6 on target) and converts at 9%, but scores only 1 goal and concedes 2 goals per game. Grobiņa away averages 8.5 shots (3 on target) with 12% efficiency and records 1 goal with 0 conceded, keeping 100% clean sheets on the road. xG indicates the home side generates 1.5 xG at home with 1.64 xG against, whereas the visitors have 1.07 xG away with 1.33 xG against, suggesting greater defensive vulnerability for Tukums. Considering 0 home wins for the hosts, superior efficiency of the visitors and Grobiņa’s defensive edge (3 wins in the last 5 and 0 goals conceded away), I predict an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No Goal with 70% probability because Grobiņa has 100% clean sheets this season and a seasonal goals conceded average of 0.0, the strongest defensive signal in the dataset. Seasonal BTTS rates for both teams are 0% (Tukums 0%, Grobiņa 0%), versus a league average BTTS of 59%, so both sides deviate from the league trend. Tukums have BTTS 80% in the last 5 matches, scoring 5 goals (1.0 avg) and conceding 6 (1.2 avg), but seasonally they have low xG_for 0.67, only 1.0 shots on target per match and a 0% conversion, limiting their ability to score against a tight defense. Grobiņa concede 0.4 goals on average in the last 5 matches (2 conceded total), register 3.0 shots on target and have a seasonal xG_for 1.07, so it’s more likely that only they might score rather than both teams (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows offensive xG of 0.67 for Tukums and 1.07 for Grobiņa, while conceded xG are 2.39 (Tukums) and 1.33 (Grobiņa). A simple average (0.67+1.33)/2 = 1.00 for the home side and (1.07+2.39)/2 = 1.73 for the away side yields a total of 2.73 expected goals. In the last 5 matches Tukums scored 5 and conceded 6 goals, while Grobiņa scored 3 and conceded 2, which together with xG data confirms realistic chances of at least two goals. Additionally, Grobiņa averages 3.0 shots on target and has a 12% conversion rate versus Tukums’ 1.0 shots on target and 0% conversion, so the visitors are more likely to turn chances into goals. For these reasons the strongest signal is backing Over 1.5, as the expected 2.73 goals give a clear edge for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor the away side: Grobiņa has a 100.0% win rate and averages 3.0 points per match, scoring 1.0 goals with xG = 1.07, while Tukums has a 0.0% win rate, 0.0 goals scored per match and concedes on average 2.0 goals. At half-time the home team were trailing in 100.0% of matches (trailingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0), whereas the away team were leading or drawing at the break in 50.0% each (leadingAtHTPercentage_away 50.0, drawingAtHTPercentage_away 50.0), suggesting Grobiņa’s advantage already before the break. The disparity in attacking and defensive quality is supported by xG and shots: xG_for_home = 0.67 vs xG_for_away = 1.07, xG_against_home = 2.39 vs xG_against_away = 1.33, and average shots on target 1.0 for the home side vs 3.0 for the away side with conversion rates 0.0% vs 12.0%. Additionally, Grobiņa has 100.0% season clean sheets (seasonCSPercentage_away = 100.0) and Tukums 0.0% (seasonCSPercentage_home = 0.0), so the strongest signal is an away lead at the break and an away win at full-time (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grobiņa is 506% better for: last-5 form.
0.33 pts / match - Tukums · 2 pts / match - Grobiņa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Tukums · 0.67 goals / match - Grobiņa
Grobiņa is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Tukums · 0.67 goals / match - Grobiņa
Tukums scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Grobiņa scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tukums
Over / Under - Grobiņa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums
Grobiņa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.74 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 53% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tukums 2 - 0 - 2 Grobiņa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums vs Grobiņa?
The Virsliga match finished Tukums 1:1 Grobiņa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and Grobiņa?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tukums won 2, Grobiņa won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Tukums score 1.00 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.67. The Virsliga average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Tukums's matches and 0% of Grobiņa's.
What form are Tukums and Grobiņa in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Grobiņa 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs Grobiņa?
The statistical background for Tukums vs Grobiņa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.