Tukums vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
Tukums vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums played Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tukums: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Rīgas FS: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.40 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 1.60 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 100%, Rīgas FS 20%. Over 2.5: Tukums 60%, Rīgas FS 20%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.30. Tukums: 10.6 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 16.2.
Match halves
Tukums: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 31-45+ (3 goals). Rīgas FS: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 5.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS are the clear favorites in this matchup: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points per game over that span, while Tukums have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 with only 0.6 points per game. At home Tukums average 1.0 goals scored and concede 1.5 goals (xG for 1.39, xG against 1.45), have not yet won at home (0% wins) and have kept 0% clean sheets. Rīgas FS in away matches average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded (xG for 1.77 vs xG against 0.75), recording 100% clean sheets and 100% wins on the road. The visitors register more shots and on-target attempts (13.5 shots and 6 on target vs the hosts’ 10 shots and 5 on target) and create better chances, despite similar possession (55% vs 56%). Considering the hosts’ 0% win rate, the visitors’ 100% away wins and the advantage in goals conceded and xG, I expect a Rīgas FS victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis shows mixed signals, but the defensive edge belongs to Rīgas FS: Tukums has a strong attacking season (avg. 2.0 goals and xG 2.12 with 18 shots, 7 on target), which increases the chance they score. Rīgas FS, however, has a season clean sheet rate of 100% and a seasonal average of 0.0 goals conceded, and in the last 5 matches they conceded just 0.4 goals on average, indicating a high ability to keep a clean sheet. In the last 5 meetings Tukums had BTTS in 100% of cases, while Rīgas FS only in 20%, meaning Tukums often concedes/permits goals while Rīgas usually do not. xG confirms both teams create chances (Tukums xG_for 2.12 vs Rīgas xG_against 0.75; Rīgas xG_for 1.77 vs Tukums xG_against 0.67), but Rīgas’s practical defensive effectiveness (0.4 goals conceded in the last 5) reduces the probability of BTTS. For these reasons I assign a higher probability to the 'No' scenario (at least one team to keep a clean sheet) — 65% versus 35% for 'Yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on opponents' average attacking and defensive xG (Tukums xG_for 2.12 vs Rīgas FS defense 0.75; Rīgas FS xG_for 1.77 vs Tukums defense 0.67) I calculated expected goals: 1.44 for Tukums and 1.22 for Rīgas FS, total 2.66. Tukums at home scores on average 2.0 goals per match, averages 18.0 shots with 7.0 on target (conversion 11%), while Rīgas FS away records 1.0 goal with 13.5 shots and 6.0 on target (conversion 7%), indicating a home offensive edge. This season Tukums had 33% of matches over 2.5 goals and 60% in the last 5 matches, whereas Rīgas FS has 0% season-over-2.5 and only 20% in the last 5; the league averages 2.72 goals per match. A Poisson model for a total of 2.66 goals gives about a 74% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~50% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~28% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). For these reasons the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (74%), which I recommend as the main position.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS led at half-time in 100% of their matches and average 1.0 goals before the break, while Tukums scores only 0.33 goals by half-time and has not led at the break (0%). However, Tukums is strong after the break: they average 1.67 goals in the second half; the data show 5 goals in minutes 46–90 (1 + 2 + 2) and an average of 2.33 points in matches in which they score after the break, with a 67% success rate in that subgroup. Rīgas FS show good overall form — winning 80% of their last 5 matches and averaging 3.0 points per match this season, with 0.0 goals conceded this season, which increases the likelihood of holding an early lead. Combining Rīgas FS’s 100% half-time leads with Tukums’s strong second half, the most consistent scenario is HT: Rīgas FS leading, FT: Tukums turns it around, so I rate '2/1' as the strongest signal; I assign a 35% probability to this outcome, while I assess Rīgas FS holding the lead at 22%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Tukums · 2.4 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Tukums · 1.6 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 350% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Tukums · 0.4 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Tukums scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Rīgas FS scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tukums
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Tukums · 1.6 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tukums 0 - 0 - 4 Rīgas FS. Average goals 5.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished Tukums 1:2 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and Rīgas FS?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tukums won 0, Rīgas FS won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Tukums score 1.40 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 1.60. The Virsliga average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Tukums's matches and 20% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are Tukums and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Rīgas FS 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tukums vs Rīgas FS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.