Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Tulsa Roughnecks display solid home form with a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate at their own stadium, having not lost any home match this season. The hosts have a positive goal difference in home matches (+1) and a higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.07), indicating their offensive efficiency. Phoenix Rising are in a difficult away situation, losing all away matches (100% defeats) and conceding an average of 2 goals per game, without keeping a clean sheet so far. The recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), and Phoenix has a worse shot conversion rate (11% vs 13%). Considering Tulsa's home advantage and Phoenix Rising's disastrous away form, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Tulsa's tendency to share points at home.
Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tulsa Roughnecks play Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 29 March 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tulsa Roughnecks: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tulsa Roughnecks scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tulsa Roughnecks 50%, Phoenix Rising 56%. Over 2.5: Tulsa Roughnecks 36%, Phoenix Rising 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. Tulsa Roughnecks: 10.9 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.4.
Match halves
Tulsa Roughnecks: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Tulsa Roughnecks: 31-45+ (5 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 3-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Tulsa Roughnecks display solid home form with a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate at their own stadium, having not lost any home match this season. The hosts have a positive goal difference in home matches (+1) and a higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.07), indicating their offensive efficiency. Phoenix Rising are in a difficult away situation, losing all away matches (100% defeats) and conceding an average of 2 goals per game, without keeping a clean sheet so far. The recent form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), and Phoenix has a worse shot conversion rate (11% vs 13%). Considering Tulsa's home advantage and Phoenix Rising's disastrous away form, I predict a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Tulsa's tendency to share points at home.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tulsa Roughnecks is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.44 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Tulsa Roughnecks is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.5 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Tulsa Roughnecks scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Tulsa Roughnecks keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tulsa Roughnecks
Over / Under — Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tulsa Roughnecks is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.19 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tulsa Roughnecks - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tulsa Roughnecks
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.79 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tulsa Roughnecks 3 - 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Tulsa Roughnecks 1:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tulsa Roughnecks and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tulsa Roughnecks won 3, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising?
Tulsa Roughnecks score 1.29 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.44. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tulsa Roughnecks's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Tulsa Roughnecks and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Tulsa Roughnecks have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.